TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT (BO5) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of K27, MOUZ NXT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,885 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT6c15,584$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.27,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed MOUZ NXT36c6,598$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.2887244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed MOUZ NXT15c5,494$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.3426958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed K2765c3,871$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.439239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed MOUZ NXT4c2,982$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5335033.4%117 W · 233 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ NXT34c2,827$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.991,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ NXT13c2,767$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.262,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ NXT19c2,556$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.980744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed K2763c1,998$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.1813546.7%63 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ NXT31c1,935$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.751,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed K2767c1,785$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.7646344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT24c1,585$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.716,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ NXT32c1,510$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.3384454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed MOUZ NXT8c1,450$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1169540%38 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e2e…b5a5backed MOUZ NXT5c1,333$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9613847.1%65 W · 73 L+18.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+65.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4cbc…a37bbacked K2769c1,257$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.125468.5%37 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked K2767c1,208$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.4548948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6676…cddcbacked K2779c1,200$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6878…6cdbbacked K2763c1,194$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+62%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x586f…ce5dbacked MOUZ NXT40c1,149$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4641450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed MOUZ NXT5c1,111$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5533237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed MOUZ NXT5c1,061$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.041,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked MOUZ NXT40c1,022$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.2916846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf96f…51d0backed MOUZ NXT32c1,002$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.641442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb5a…6eabbacked MOUZ NXT19c999.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked K2765c986$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.4249745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed K2776c982.15$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5512446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked K2765c958$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.7654346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed K2765c926$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.6229244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked MOUZ NXT9c890.38$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1134542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked MOUZ NXT4c879.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.740%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked MOUZ NXT8c865.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3132930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT35c855.37$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.655,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9083…99fabacked MOUZ NXT55c851.22$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.351172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0e…ad94backed K2771c850.21$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2111365.5%74 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc761…0470backed MOUZ NXT33c846$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.181258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6f…4b85backed MOUZ NXT33c816$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.281172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked K2765c798.24$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.211,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked K2772c795.53$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.12,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed K2765c784$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1327443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ NXT24c734.52$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.632,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked MOUZ NXT37c667.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25052636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea5…85a6backed K2767c651$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.831241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1521…71f3backed K2757c634$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed MOUZ NXT25c617.54$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9825634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed MOUZ NXT37c584$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.837536%27 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2a…5df7backed MOUZ NXT35c574$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid+42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08b1…4559backed K2762c568$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+87.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed K2759c546.22$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0225147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed MOUZ NXT41c510.37$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.25837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ NXT41c507.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2846345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4772…9f1bbacked K2768c484$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.881060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked MOUZ NXT5c473.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.674050%20 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ea…43cfbacked K2768c463$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.161250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf248…72bfbacked K2765c460.11$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.114557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf899…1dc3backed K2765c438$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed MOUZ NXT36c420$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.424649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79b9…ba2cbacked K2767c419$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.271154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc011…bf70backed MOUZ NXT33c413.36$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.966338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48d8…6514backed MOUZ NXT29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked K2762c395.68$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3211646.6%54 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked K2758c381.57$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2698052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fdd…09e9backed MOUZ NXT43c374$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…11d3backed K2767c372$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.761163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed K2768c364.4$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9929858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5f…d393backed MOUZ NXT32c363.87$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.613844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93f5…1424backed K2767c354$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.821361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed K2757c352.71$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.781,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01a7…2756backed MOUZ NXT43c347.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked K2765c347.3$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6623858%138 W · 100 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked K2775c344.58$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.153,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked MOUZ NXT34c336.87$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.125337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3199…aec3backed MOUZ NXT41c336$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked MOUZ NXT17c335.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.673718.9%7 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed MOUZ NXT8c325$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2627556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaaf…53c0backed MOUZ NXT38c323$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.74333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed MOUZ NXT37c320.16$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11859343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x548f…a2b4backed K2767c300.51$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.681361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked K2758c299.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4619055.8%106 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed K2757c297.37$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.875952.5%31 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee26…dc8bbacked MOUZ NXT38c291$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16be…73dabacked MOUZ NXT34c290.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked MOUZ NXT5c290.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5370036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…816ebacked K2769c290.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed K2764c290$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.11844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed MOUZ NXT33c283.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938644.2%38 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked K2769c281.27$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1926257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed MOUZ NXT32c279.05$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.212334.1%42 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd0…bf29backed K2759c259$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed MOUZ NXT8c255.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8346843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ NXT24c250$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.694,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…2644backed MOUZ NXT42c245$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed MOUZ NXT17c242.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.891,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed MOUZ NXT36c240$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.450340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af8…a69ebacked MOUZ NXT46c215.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaba3…49c3backed MOUZ NXT33c207$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95cc…3533backed K2777c205.88$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.668664%55 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT37c205.77$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.674,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed MOUZ NXT35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.115142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.