CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfff25e281e001c2e45b87014233bfb1898ddc671f0f564285bca552cf1bb16e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,871 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Over | 63c | 271.8$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df8…321ebacked Over | 77c | 259$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…6692backed Over | 77c | 235$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3fbabacked Over | 77c | 220$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 21c | 212$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…f627backed Over | 79c | 212$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…35a7backed Over | 77c | 212$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…ca91backed Over | 77c | 196$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…c822backed Over | 77c | 192$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…1b27backed Under | 33c | 176.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…cea5backed Under | 23c | 175$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4015…07fdbacked Under | 23c | 171$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c1…2531backed Over | 77c | 171$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…6520backed Under | 23c | 164$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…961abacked Under | 37c | 155.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…5626backed Under | 23c | 143$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…5b13backed Over | 79c | 141$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ed…24d6backed Under | 23c | 131$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…5067backed Under | 23c | 124$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7adb…cbe2backed Under | 23c | 99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd3…820dbacked Under | 21c | 93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0333…2b25backed Under | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…396abacked Under | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93e…3a14backed Under | 23c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc46…2c94backed Under | 23c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2b…6909backed Under | 28c | 82.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2e…391ebacked Under | 21c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc8…b8f0backed Under | 23c | 69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 64c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Over | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 78c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT (BO5) - European Pro League Series 5 PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 3 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 4 WinnerK27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.