CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a115c234ec562cfba5cabacadaa6ab9dcf5b9f4a5c3488730ac2a7649809187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,455 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebb2…fbb4backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 8,842$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…4bdfbacked K27 | 55c | 8,554$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked K27 | 58c | 1,148$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.96 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 998.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.57 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed MOUZ NXT | 68c | 886.58$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 47c | 512.15$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked K27 | 41c | 443.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed K27 | 58c | 400$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.84 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed K27 | 55c | 379.36$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.47 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked K27 | 59c | 378.86$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked K27 | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e19…59f3backed K27 | 55c | 288$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 255.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 252$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked K27 | 33c | 250.83$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 248.76$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 247$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 38c | 233.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.31 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…15f2backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 212.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 198.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked K27 | 60c | 183.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 175.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MOUZ NXT | 63c | 174.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…73f2backed K27 | 66c | 167.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 164$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 138.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed K27 | 34c | 129.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c7…06c8backed MOUZ NXT | 66c | 119.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 116.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed K27 | 56c | 88.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked K27 | 40c | 77.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked K27 | 44c | 68.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 67.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 56.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed K27 | 33c | 56.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 56.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…0822backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 47.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 45.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed K27 | 58c | 40.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed K27 | 54c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed K27 | 57c | 35.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT | 67c | 34.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed K27 | 57c | 30.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…98e6backed K27 | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked K27 | 37c | 29.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…7704backed K27 | 42c | 25.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked MOUZ NXT | 70c | 20.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT (BO5) - European Pro League Series 5 PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 4 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.