CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfedb37738b2230eb21e10ae6f01e2f3fa9f72ae45abd7b36ef8dcf5818228d4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,481 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked MOUZ NXT | 1c | 1,495$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 1,473$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed K27 | 58c | 999$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.58 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked K27 | 63c | 754.42$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.22 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 699.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked MOUZ NXT | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed MOUZ NXT | 8c | 271$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed K27 | 57c | 266.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked K27 | 57c | 254.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 17c | 173.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked K27 | 79c | 153$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ NXT | 22c | 151.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed MOUZ NXT | 14c | 143.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed K27 | 77c | 138.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 58c | 119.46$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked K27 | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked K27 | 70c | 49.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed MOUZ NXT | 22c | 45.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked K27 | 57c | 41.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…5452backed K27 | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT (BO5) - European Pro League Series 5 PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 3 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.