CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5be578bb7c9a9fd5240eaf2c8db68ac5cf32ac4a631b3477a2b4c7b3628deb18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof K27, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,374 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x338c…1b33backed K27 | 63c | 1,042$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed K27 | 35c | 666$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…c2c6backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 550$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked K27 | 57c | 550$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…405dbacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed K27 | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 478.4$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.97 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT | 74c | 462.54$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.63 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f53cbacked MOUZ NXT | 42c | 460$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…c3b9backed K27 | 57c | 460$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 384$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 62c | 366.85$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed K27 | 20c | 262.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 220.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.02 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ NXT | 70c | 138.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ NXT | 32c | 122.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked K27 | 66c | 99.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked K27 | 25c | 84.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed K27 | 58c | 76.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c7…06c8backed K27 | 45c | 66.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked MOUZ NXT | 29c | 45.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 36.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 32.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked MOUZ NXT | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked K27 | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked K27 | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT (BO5) - European Pro League Series 5 PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 3 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT - Map 4 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.