NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8478cb90c569abe0209a9f02f055f084f605432f65dd35d6b2951a340fcb6638
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Cavaliers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,000 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic | 51c | 87,863$44,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,052.94 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Magic | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000.29 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 48,080$23,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,644.81 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 43,750$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,999.85 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Magic | 52c | 38,464$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,464.09 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Cavaliers | 49c | 28,376$13,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,904.24 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 49c | 25,268$12,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,803.61 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Magic | 51c | 21,137$10,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,357.02 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Cavaliers | 49c | 21,021$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,300.35 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 50c | 17,589$8,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,723.86 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 16,127$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 12,223$5,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 49c | 10,515$5,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,379.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Cavaliers | 49c | 10,408$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Cavaliers | 49c | 9,391$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 9,203$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,429.92 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 53c | 9,050$4,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Magic | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.07 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Cavaliers | 49c | 7,702$3,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,774 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 6,999$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.18 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 6,791$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 5,727$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.51 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Magic | 51c | 5,646$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.8 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 50c | 5,104$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.91 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Magic | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cavaliers | 49c | 5,000$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.91 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.17 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Magic | 52c | 4,812$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.7 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 4,753$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.68 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Cavaliers | 49c | 4,729$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 4,645$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.98 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 3,986$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.27 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,930$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.27 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 3,447$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cavaliers | 49c | 3,095$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Magic | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 2,998$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.7 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,991$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.36 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 45c | 2,889$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Magic | 49c | 2,819$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.54 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,700$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,587$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.5 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Magic | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,452$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace8…4624backed Magic | 50c | 2,391$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Magic | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,947$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.11 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Magic | 52c | 1,927$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.78 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Magic | 53c | 1,904$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.74 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Magic | 51c | 1,817$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.57 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…99fabacked Magic | 51c | 1,754$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.43 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,198$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,177$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…5be9backed Magic | 51c | 1,052$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,022$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,014$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…03fabacked Cavaliers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cavaliers | 51c | 977.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 897.08$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.67 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Cavaliers | 48c | 895.83$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Cavaliers | 49c | 869.72$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Magic | 51c | 849.2$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.11 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Cavaliers | 49c | 817.52$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Magic | 52c | 774.39$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.39 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Magic | 51c | 752.94$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.94 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Cavaliers | 49c | 595.09$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 51c | 588.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Magic | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 46c | 586.55$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.39 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Magic | 78c | 566.55$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 50c | 557.28$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.33 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…fccebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 546.24$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 50c | 537.72$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.9 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 522.6$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.3 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 511.82$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 510.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Magic | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Magic | 50c | 466$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 48c | 434.45$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 409$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Cavaliers | 49c | 409$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003a…40f2backed Magic | 50c | 405.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…1f2bbacked Magic | 50c | 405.07$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…83e6backed Magic | 50c | 403.07$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca5…43ffbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 402.73$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e17…6dd9backed Cavaliers | 51c | 401.54$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…ce32backed Cavaliers | 51c | 400.67$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…5ceebacked Magic | 50c | 400.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Magic | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9233…b6e1backed Cavaliers | 51c | 399.23$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
- Cavaliers vs. MagicMagic won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 241.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 243.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 244.5Over won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Moritz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.