NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73435d5e442748dfc1f3ff13f3abb9cde5e9e629c0b5ac34645867d7d7c468e3

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Cavaliers, Magic
Resolved: Mar 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $204,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,422 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic	47c	67,331$31,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,758.91	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Cavaliers	54c	58,732$31,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,477.22	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers	54c	33,884$18,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,141.98	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Magic	45c	18,216$8,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,018.79	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Magic	46c	16,629$7,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,964.54	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers	53c	15,100$8,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,004.28	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic	46c	13,167$6,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,057.54	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Magic	47c	10,119$4,773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,345.86	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Magic	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200.04	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers	40c	9,402$3,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,769.6	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers	56c	8,792$4,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,961.25	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x246b…fb5bbacked Cavaliers	57c	5,446$3,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,110.93	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	60cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers	52c	5,020$2,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,588.01	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Cavaliers	54c	4,630$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500.2	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Magic	46c	4,347$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,347.38	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	54c	3,764$2,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,030.51	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Magic	56c	3,711$2,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,642.23	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic	49c	3,502$1,709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,792.83	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic	47c	3,350$1,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,782.32	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Cavaliers	55c	3,050$1,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,677.5	230	47%108 W · 122 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	28c	2,988$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.01	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers	51c	2,566$1,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,305.27	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Magic	46c	2,029$936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,093.85	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers	42c	1,982$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$823.03	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic	46c	1,800$826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$973.99	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	52c	1,755$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.38	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Cavaliers	52c	1,262$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.24	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Cavaliers	54c	1,200$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648	133	39.1%52 W · 81 L	-11.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Cavaliers	39c	1,149$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.24	172	33.7%58 W · 114 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Cavaliers	55c	1,091$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Magic	47c	999.97$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.99	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Magic	59c	853.75$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.75	209	63.2%132 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic	47c	762.89$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.43	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc615…c7aebacked Cavaliers	62c	759.28$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.23	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers	52c	576.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Cavaliers	54c	560$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.4	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8fe…9f73backed Magic	47c	558.01$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.18	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Cavaliers	55c	500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	412	27.4%113 W · 299 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Magic	61c	450.23$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.67	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b92…74f1backed Cavaliers	56c	446.43$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Cavaliers	49c	436$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.68	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Magic	46c	431$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.74	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Magic	46c	428.27$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.27	296	52.7%156 W · 140 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd902…a809backed Cavaliers	56c	422.79$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.76	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Cavaliers	56c	367.86$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+6.5wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Cavaliers	55c	361$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.3	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Cavaliers	54c	342.59$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-5.1wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Cavaliers	43c	340.04$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.64	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f8…280cbacked Magic	45c	340$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6c2…8f23backed Magic	45c	311.45$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.61	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Magic	58c	303.22$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.53	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Magic	45c	292$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.06	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Cavaliers	54c	281.55$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.04	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Cavaliers	49c	277$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.16	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers	41c	266.42$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.22	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Cavaliers	54c	250$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.93	171	48%82 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x668a…04d1backed Cavaliers	55c	238.54$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.61	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Magic	45c	224.73$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.79	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc0…8e67backed Cavaliers	56c	221.14$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Cavaliers	55c	218.18$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	182	56.6%103 W · 79 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Magic	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Cavaliers	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	267	45.3%121 W · 146 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0c…160cbacked Magic	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.08	138	58%80 W · 58 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Cavaliers	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Cavaliers	54c	199.98$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.99	119	57.1%68 W · 51 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Cavaliers	53c	189.99$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.7	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Cavaliers	55c	181.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.09	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-7.8wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Cavaliers	55c	181.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaab…b735backed Cavaliers	55c	181.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e2f…c7bfbacked Magic	46c	179$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.84	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.36per pick	44cpaid	+71%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb5…14babacked Magic	45c	176$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.8	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+91.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic	70c	163.21$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.72	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Magic	46c	152.8$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.51	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51af…ecfebacked Magic	46c	151$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.69	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+68.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd2d…f552backed Magic	46c	146$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa615…0344backed Magic	46c	145.99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.83	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Magic	50c	136.76$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.78	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…022dbacked Magic	46c	133.79$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.31	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe170…afacbacked Cavaliers	53c	132.24$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Cavaliers	50c	126.06$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.03	277	45.8%127 W · 150 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Cavaliers	60c	125.29$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Magic	45c	123.5$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.5	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Magic	47c	121.49$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.49	109	55%60 W · 49 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Cavaliers	56c	110$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Magic	48c	104$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.08	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+13.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x73f9…c640backed Cavaliers	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Magic	48c	99.98$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Magic	56c	95.41$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.21	342	48.8%167 W · 175 L	+12.5wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Cavaliers	53c	94.47$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Magic	47c	92.59$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.17	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Magic	47c	89.89$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.05	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Cavaliers	53c	86.62$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.93	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedda…e1b2backed Magic	47c	85.29$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers	53c	77.29$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.96	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Cavaliers	38c	75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cae…fbcbbacked Cavaliers	55c	75$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe08e…d9f9backed Cavaliers	55c	71$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.98	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Cavaliers	19c	67.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.04	122	27%33 W · 89 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf823…6b9dbacked Cavaliers	55c	67$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.85	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba35…92bdbacked Cavaliers	53c	64$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.92	259	30.5%79 W · 180 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)this page
Cavaliers vs. MagicMagic won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 241.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 243.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 244.5Over won
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Moritz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Magic won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Magic won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event