NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3db5e5edf50e5c10e50d179e7e4894f8edc6fc5d5ef6dbffb19ffc40a434e771

Rebuilt 21 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $293,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,745 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1041…f452backed Under	50c	22,547$11,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,337	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Under	50c	20,300$10,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,149.49	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,999.99	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over	51c	12,180$6,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,968.19	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	50c	8,504$4,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,258.55	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	50c	8,238$4,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,123.51	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over	50c	8,031$4,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,015.47	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	50c	8,000$3,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,000.49	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over	50c	7,596$3,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,798	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under	50c	6,408$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over	51c	5,220$2,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,557.79	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb7…bb22backed Over	49c	4,400$2,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,244	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f9e…c091backed Over	50c	4,384$2,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,182.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f1…9617backed Over	50c	4,368$2,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,177.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d43…cf4abacked Under	52c	4,134$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,149.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under	50c	4,097$2,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,054.5	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bb…7bebbacked Under	51c	4,092$2,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,086.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f1…2793backed Under	51c	4,021$2,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,061.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	73	65.8%48 W · 25 L	+8.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+24%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under	50c	3,900$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab4f…1e42backed Under	52c	3,894$2,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,024.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	50c	3,884$1,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,954.53	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under	52c	3,826$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	128	55.5%71 W · 57 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe244…ac10backed Under	51c	3,814$1,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,945.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7c…e86dbacked Under	52c	3,746$1,948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,947.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3f…3f3cbacked Under	52c	3,704$1,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,926.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab11…2042backed Under	51c	3,672$1,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,872.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bb…1cd2backed Under	51c	3,670$1,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,871.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Over	51c	3,598$1,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,779	98	57.1%56 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…e475backed Over	48c	3,544$1,701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,842.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda37…a037backed Under	52c	3,530$1,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,835.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under	50c	3,506$1,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,752.83	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578a…0d82backed Under	52c	3,418$1,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,777.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e8e…27eabacked Under	51c	3,262$1,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,663.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcabd…bff2backed Over	49c	3,262$1,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,663.62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8038…ff2fbacked Under	51c	3,248$1,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,656.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e63…7d2dbacked Over	48c	3,234$1,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,681.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86a4…ee39backed Under	51c	3,199$1,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,631.49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb453…25a9backed Over	49c	3,192$1,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,627.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x761b…fbbbbacked Under	52c	3,136$1,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,630.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd6…df55backed Over	49c	3,114$1,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,588.14	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e95…7aedbacked Under	51c	3,090$1,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc465…4c6bbacked Over	48c	3,076$1,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599.52	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce7…8262backed Under	52c	3,067$1,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,594.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0744…c8d3backed Over	48c	3,044$1,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,582.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc2…6a78backed Over	48c	3,006$1,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,563.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec81…c2f4backed Over	49c	2,978$1,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,518.85	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.22per pick	49cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0122…b49ebacked Over	49c	2,948$1,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,503.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x386b…3f78backed Under	51c	2,930$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8af2…75e7backed Under	51c	2,920$1,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,489.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2141…46aebacked Over	48c	2,894$1,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,504.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbef7…5ec9backed Over	48c	2,890$1,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,502.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f10…aefcbacked Over	48c	2,876$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,495.52	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b68…3902backed Over	49c	2,866$1,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,461.66	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde67…7b36backed Under	52c	2,834$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,473.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3004…3c06backed Over	48c	2,800$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,456	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87e5…7347backed Over	49c	2,780$1,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,417.95	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9567…117dbacked Over	49c	2,770$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,412.7	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+95.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df5…c320backed Over	48c	2,704$1,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,406.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a0…c642backed Over	49c	2,698$1,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,375.98	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8ca…2d48backed Under	51c	2,698$1,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,375.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	49c	2,675$1,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,371.15	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a1…5abebacked Over	49c	2,635$1,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,343.85	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe622…80eabacked Under	52c	2,572$1,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,337.37	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88f4…27b5backed Under	51c	2,552$1,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,288.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02c…fda3backed Under	52c	2,500$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	50c	2,343$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,182.91	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629a…b1a4backed Under	52c	2,334$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,213.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	47c	2,313$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.87	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	49c	2,262$1,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100.58	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…a6b0backed Under	51c	2,251$1,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,147.85	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d1…0139backed Over	49c	2,239$1,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,141.75	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc4…3e88backed Over	49c	2,211$1,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f09…0c7dbacked Over	48c	2,144$1,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.88	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…0e28backed Over	48c	2,098$1,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,090.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c5…e61bbacked Over	49c	2,090$1,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.9	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+97.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Under	51c	2,005$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.08	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b72…71bcbacked Under	51c	2,005$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f08…c269backed Over	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x685c…5b68backed Over	48c	1,968$945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,023.36	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	54c	1,924$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$884.97	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dae…e03dbacked Under	51c	1,855$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$946.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc344…7ee8backed Under	51c	1,823$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.73	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over	50c	1,796$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$897.96	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43c3…8a55backed Over	49c	1,763$864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8802…fe55backed Over	49c	1,738$852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.38	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Under	51c	1,500$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.54	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over	49c	1,497$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762.63	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…3cc3backed Under	51c	1,411$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Over	50c	1,353$677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.7	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Under	50c	1,289$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	49c	1,200$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.85	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Over	51c	1,177$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.61	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	240	50.8%122 W · 118 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over	52c	872.15$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.63	172	33.7%58 W · 114 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	48c	800$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	49c	789.06$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.63	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5this page
Cavaliers vs. MagicMagic won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 241.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 243.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 244.5Over won
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Moritz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Magic won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Magic won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Magic won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event