NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Magic: O/U 223.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87a71bb542d4e8f6f2b77b148dcd35a5969c6d736f15d68771a34c9b97b3f43b

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,393 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe962…663abacked Over	43c	2,798$1,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,582.42	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	48c	1,246$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.81	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over	55c	1,211$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.91	145	56.6%82 W · 63 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e1…a9cfbacked Over	55c	1,197$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.97	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	54c	1,066$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.16	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	45c	1,019$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.73	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	50c	945.14$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.32	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Over	53c	817.7$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.7	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	45c	785.51$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.15	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	45c	750$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.5	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	46c	745.05$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.52	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	49c	686.79$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.4	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	46c	568.77$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.42	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under	45c	501.49$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.09	176	43.2%76 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	33c	469.79$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.13	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under	7c	456.06$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.64	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb417…06dcbacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Over	55c	399.99$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.99	428	45.1%193 W · 235 L	-15.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under	51c	392.15$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	49c	362$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.38	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	51c	359.57$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.36	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under	45c	332.95$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.83	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under	51c	329.08$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.39	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	51c	329.08$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.39	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	45c	312.38$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.57	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under	50c	270.35$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.04	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	66c	256.67$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under	46c	250$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	50c	250$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	51c	199.53$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.73	620	47.3%293 W · 327 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Over	51c	178.45$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.44	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	47c	168.47$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.92	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under	45c	156$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.2	193	48.2%93 W · 100 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	44c	114.59$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.01	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	45c	113$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.85	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over	53c	111.15$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.64	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	45c	100.91$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	188	44.7%84 W · 104 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under	46c	97.91$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.04	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	46c	92.8$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.53	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Over	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	128	36.7%47 W · 81 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	53c	87.76$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.25	656	30.2%198 W · 458 L	-86.7wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Over	51c	82.08$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.22	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9083…99fabacked Over	70c	72.24$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e12…589ebacked Over	55c	68.96$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.14	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under	45c	68.24$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.71	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d75…1af0backed Over	55c	67.86$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	52c	56.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.79	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	170	47.6%81 W · 89 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over	51c	54.48$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.7	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Under	52c	54$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over	54c	50.76$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.43	236	57.2%135 W · 101 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under	46c	47.21$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.72	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under	45c	45.6$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	275	48.7%134 W · 141 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26e8…1c01backed Over	55c	44.22$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.9	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	-6.8wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	46c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.32	355	46.5%165 W · 190 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e96…f2debacked Under	46c	39.96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.38	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	48c	38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	51c	37.75$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x729c…2b1ebacked Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	263	54%142 W · 121 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…5f11backed Over	54c	36.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.74	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	44c	33.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over	53c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	224	56.3%126 W · 98 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under	51c	27.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	135	41.5%56 W · 79 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under	52c	27.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	108	50.9%55 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0da…7379backed Over	76c	26.37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.37	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Over	57c	25.58$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	113	56.6%64 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under	46c	23.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	378	53.4%202 W · 176 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc22…bbd0backed Under	46c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfd…cfe4backed Under	46c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef2f…b783backed Under	46c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e5…c4b1backed Under	46c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b91…492ebacked Over	55c	21.82$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.82	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	51c	20.56$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.42	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8308…3012backed Over	53c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.93	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd608…b138backed Over	53c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.93	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bca…23afbacked Over	53c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.93	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8483…68e6backed Over	54c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10e7…7252backed Over	54c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.74	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a9…6579backed Over	53c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.93	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a8…ae34backed Over	54c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.74	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6370…f825backed Over	53c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4947…5117backed Over	53c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.93	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+99%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under	60c	17.88$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	143	59.4%85 W · 58 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under	66c	16.21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Suns vs. Magic: O/U 223.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event