NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bfe4aa0a1108231341bef9b6ff04fb18a6cd9065f9f83b31e2b652af181cdaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Suns | 55c | 9,415$5,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,212.44 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 56c | 5,878$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.35 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magic | 67c | 5,595$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.1 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Suns | 49c | 5,314$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.44 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed Suns | 55c | 4,828$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…db02backed Magic | 45c | 3,898$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.78 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 35c | 3,838$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…1ba6backed Magic | 45c | 3,794$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Suns | 73c | 2,893$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.11 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 51c | 2,705$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.66 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Suns | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 56c | 2,279$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.87 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Suns | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Suns | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Suns | 62c | 1,618$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.98 | 168 | 53%89 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Magic | 44c | 1,536$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.36 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Magic | 44c | 1,405$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.71 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Magic | 45c | 1,133$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.15 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…9823backed Magic | 45c | 1,022$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Suns | 49c | 908.73$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.64 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Suns | 37c | 896.44$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.29 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Magic | 71c | 843.04$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.04 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Suns | 34c | 725.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Magic | 55c | 697$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.48 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Suns | 39c | 634.8$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.42 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Magic | 38c | 625.87$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.04 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Suns | 33c | 616.8$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.13 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Suns | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 55c | 586.39$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 44c | 575.46$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.24 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Magic | 44c | 543.8$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.53 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 46c | 505.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5052…9071backed Suns | 60c | 500.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Suns | 36c | 468.18$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.39 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Magic | 43c | 465.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.08 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Suns | 44c | 455.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Suns | 35c | 450.32$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.42 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Magic | 45c | 433.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.86 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Suns | 27c | 430.51$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.72 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Suns | 40c | 416.39$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Suns | 28c | 386.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Suns | 41c | 370.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Suns | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Suns | 55c | 333.63$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.59 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Suns | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…6192backed Suns | 63c | 320.68$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.03 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Magic | 45c | 308.77$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.91 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…8fb7backed Magic | 70c | 283.39$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Suns | 26c | 269.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Suns | 25c | 264.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Magic | 46c | 257.39$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.99 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Suns | 27c | 251.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Suns | 57c | 247.79$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.47 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Suns | 30c | 245.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Suns | 24c | 244.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Suns | 55c | 242.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Suns | 24c | 230.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Suns | 53c | 223.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.22 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Magic | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Suns | 55c | 207.47$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Suns | 29c | 201.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Suns | 25c | 197.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Suns | 29c | 196.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Suns | 48c | 193.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Magic | 62c | 192.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Magic | 51c | 191.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Suns | 37c | 175.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Suns | 37c | 175$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…fd65backed Suns | 54c | 168.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Suns | 55c | 162$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Magic | 66c | 160$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Magic | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 45c | 150.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…9592backed Suns | 50c | 148.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Magic | 46c | 146.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Suns | 43c | 146.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Suns | 33c | 142.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Suns | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Suns | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Suns | 51c | 139.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Suns | 37c | 135.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Magic | 55c | 135.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Suns | 29c | 133.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…692abacked Suns | 57c | 132.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Suns | 34c | 131.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Magic | 51c | 126.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Suns | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Suns | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Suns | 55c | 123.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Magic | 38c | 123.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Magic | 57c | 118.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 59c | 107.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 50c | 105.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Suns | 68c | 105.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Suns | 14c | 100.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Suns | 29c | 93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Suns | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Magic | 39c | 86.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Magic | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-0.5)Magic won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Suns vs. MagicMagic won
- Suns vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Suns vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.