TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Magic (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Magic, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x05c4…a4f2backed Suns55c9,415$5,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,212.4412045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Magic56c5,878$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.352,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Magic67c5,595$3,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.11,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Suns49c5,314$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,608.443,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Suns55c4,828$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.162250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Magic45c3,898$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.781735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns35c3,838$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.448,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29ce…1ba6backed Magic45c3,794$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.871070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Suns73c2,893$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.117064.3%45 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Magic51c2,705$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.661,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Suns39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9752634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Magic56c2,279$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.872,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Suns55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Suns55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10087049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Suns62c1,618$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.9816853%89 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Magic44c1,536$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.3612542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Magic44c1,405$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.7127645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Magic45c1,133$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.156547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Magic45c1,022$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.222065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Suns49c908.73$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.6424138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Suns37c896.44$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.291,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ee…a073backed Magic71c843.04$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.043661.1%22 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Suns34c725.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9756447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Magic55c697$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4834953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Suns39c634.8$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.421,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Magic38c625.87$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.0489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Suns33c616.8$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Suns49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005747.4%27 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns55c586.39$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.634,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Magic44c575.46$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.242,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Magic44c543.8$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5324151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns46c505.5$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.535,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5052…9071backed Suns60c500.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3103,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Suns36c468.18$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3921450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Magic43c465.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0852951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Suns44c455.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Suns35c450.32$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Magic45c433.75$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8645151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Suns27c430.51$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7244551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Suns40c416.39$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Suns28c386.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8841449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Suns41c370.72$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2424139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Suns56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19644740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Suns55c333.63$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Suns31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Suns63c320.68$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.036253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Magic45c308.77$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9144345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x22a6…8fb7backed Magic70c283.39$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.113745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Suns26c269.62$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7613349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Suns25c264.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3214640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Magic46c257.39$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9925143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Suns27c251.33$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8913541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Suns57c247.79$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4713153.4%70 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Suns30c245.82$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7151647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Suns24c244.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0531345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Suns55c242.51$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.385651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Suns24c230.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4353348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Suns53c223.06$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2211834.7%41 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Magic46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3925847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Suns55c207.47$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Suns29c201.04$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9380440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Suns25c197.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.757248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Suns29c196.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.785048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Suns48c193.75$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Magic62c192.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.931,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Magic51c191.2$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.694852.1%25 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Suns37c175.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.763339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Suns37c175$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9158754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x769c…fd65backed Suns54c168.13$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.354456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Suns55c162$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4321350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Magic66c160$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5546940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Magic64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2523546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns45c150.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.735,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6724…9592backed Suns50c148.22$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Magic46c146.52$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.131,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Suns43c146.31$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3118844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Suns33c142.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.631,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Suns57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Suns31c140$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.840440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f08…57bcbacked Suns51c139.09$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Suns37c135.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508970.8%63 W · 26 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Magic55c135.33$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.917547.4%83 W · 92 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Suns29c133.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2116046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4180…692abacked Suns57c132.86$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.64966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Suns34c131.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6687744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Magic51c126.38$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.691,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x729c…2b1ebacked Suns56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7026354%142 W · 121 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Suns25c125$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Suns55c123.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6823143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Magic38c123.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.97441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Magic57c118.18$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic59c107.19$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.333,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Magic50c105.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.073,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Suns68c105.5$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4431151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b4…168fbacked Suns14c100.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.013158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Suns29c93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1145544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Suns57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Magic39c86.78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Magic58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2145445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.