NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e9086d142a81844db06b0719a91237d96612a5a7d2c0f7f94827b873aafd3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,139 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.93 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 53c | 7,568$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.42 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.98 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 52c | 5,048$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.38 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.01 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 48c | 4,856$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under | 52c | 4,717$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.02 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 48c | 4,716$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.9 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8411…f331backed Under | 52c | 4,633$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…59d0backed Under | 52c | 4,525$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…4b82backed Under | 52c | 4,001$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…da8fbacked Under | 52c | 3,852$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 3,740$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.81 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f3…9d4abacked Under | 52c | 3,720$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 3,508$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 52c | 3,279$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.92 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621b…4bf5backed Under | 52c | 3,247$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…2bb2backed Over | 48c | 2,855$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 46c | 2,799$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.62 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 30c | 2,730$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…3207backed Under | 52c | 2,716$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5d…faddbacked Under | 52c | 2,701$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 56c | 2,537$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.47 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…0c54backed Over | 48c | 2,466$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 52c | 2,355$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.4 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c6…3f4fbacked Over | 48c | 2,354$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 2,331$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.67 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.34 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…1221backed Over | 48c | 2,213$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…7c23backed Over | 48c | 2,211$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 2,155$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.14 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…b1e1backed Over | 48c | 2,136$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 2,107$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688f…6ddebacked Over | 48c | 2,016$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec9…f9fabacked Over | 48c | 1,923$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c60…b238backed Under | 52c | 1,922$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…4584backed Over | 48c | 1,917$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…f2c9backed Under | 52c | 1,917$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8b…a87fbacked Over | 48c | 1,901$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…6edabacked Over | 48c | 1,893$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 55c | 1,892$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.88 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df8…5552backed Over | 48c | 1,842$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde94…c3cebacked Over | 48c | 1,823$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…504dbacked Over | 48c | 1,789$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…3450backed Over | 48c | 1,756$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…e0f0backed Under | 52c | 1,703$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 63c | 1,698$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 53c | 1,693$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.13 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd860…0099backed Under | 52c | 1,655$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 44c | 1,639$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.19 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 66c | 1,629$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.14 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 1,596$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Under | 53c | 1,550$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.6 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28cf…e7f1backed Under | 52c | 1,532$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 53c | 1,530$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.19 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4101…1ef9backed Over | 48c | 1,528$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…4817backed Under | 52c | 1,523$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e9…8cd6backed Over | 48c | 1,522$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…1d0ebacked Over | 48c | 1,520$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…4c14backed Over | 48c | 1,499$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…95c2backed Over | 48c | 1,421$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7095…2905backed Under | 52c | 1,418$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…ad4cbacked Over | 48c | 1,395$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…412bbacked Over | 48c | 1,388$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…7450backed Under | 52c | 1,251$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa12…1df1backed Over | 48c | 1,207$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 46c | 1,199$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.67 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 1,122$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.14 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…da7ebacked Under | 53c | 1,092$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.94 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.68 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…5e7bbacked Over | 48c | 975$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 966.32$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.83 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc029…ade0backed Under | 52c | 925$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…86bfbacked Over | 48c | 920$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Under | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 45c | 871$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 68c | 866.3$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.45 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 54c | 861.99$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.08 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Under | 57c | 741.43$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 605.87$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.21 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…4ea4backed Over | 48c | 590$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 51c | 560$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.4 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 447.08$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 422$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.34 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 62c | 404.18$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.59 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 390.2$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 59c | 378.79$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 53c | 373.58$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 364.2$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.46 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 45c | 280.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Pistons won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Lakers won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.