TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$422,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,617 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked Over49c30,000$14,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,599.9212639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c25,014$12,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,395.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c25,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0298…d37ebacked Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe517…198ebacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c10,877$5,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,379.171,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa01b…2d4cbacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8095…d870backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over46c9,150$4,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,208.9924942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c7,201$3,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.192,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c7,093$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,617.411,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2120…50c4backed Over50c6,888$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,444771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under51c6,863$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,362.755341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8cf…7a0bbacked Over50c6,841$3,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,420.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x960d…cc2fbacked Under50c6,782$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62cf…19ddbacked Under50c6,659$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3265…1506backed Under50c6,506$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc2…cf39backed Under50c6,505$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c6,340$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,155.514,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0a…4f75backed Over50c6,244$3,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce2…788cbacked Under50c6,186$3,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb2f…d669backed Over50c6,151$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,075.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba6…9db6backed Under50c6,093$3,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,046.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x545b…df80backed Under50c5,945$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,972.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfda8…f1efbacked Under50c5,944$2,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b18…9e09backed Over50c5,942$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14cb…1f7dbacked Under50c5,715$2,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e18…8c01backed Over50c5,707$2,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,853.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa7…8f31backed Under50c5,704$2,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8522100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa788…5969backed Under50c5,649$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb435…5140backed Over50c5,643$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce8…7587backed Over50c5,632$2,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,81610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb0…0ce3backed Over50c5,593$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f77…6fbabacked Under50c5,560$2,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8c…9a59backed Over50c5,534$2,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,76710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef3…3a4ebacked Under50c5,510$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc276…1c52backed Over50c5,504$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…ac87backed Over50c5,476$2,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d0…1d3cbacked Over50c5,474$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,737366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e5…a8efbacked Under50c5,469$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a7a…b695backed Under50c5,386$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf876…13febacked Over50c5,356$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,67820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…aeffbacked Over50c5,343$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b80…9923backed Over50c5,318$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafc7…b99dbacked Under50c5,318$2,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b6e…826cbacked Over50c5,227$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over50c5,189$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.1917246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b38…8bdbbacked Over50c5,143$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb598…c63bbacked Over50c5,110$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eab…4c79backed Over50c5,071$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec39…a267backed Under50c5,046$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5232100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a71…99b4backed Under50c5,015$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b97…7a3cbacked Under50c5,012$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,506366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaae1…8daabacked Over50c4,823$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x438f…4c3bbacked Over50c4,810$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8eebbacked Under50c4,800$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f96…2c13backed Over50c4,799$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under54c4,792$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.2823147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a0…85a8backed Under50c4,787$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4493…061cbacked Under50c4,771$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Under51c4,770$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.391,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae3b…b7d4backed Over50c4,722$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ab…5339backed Under50c4,652$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd0f…22c8backed Under50c4,611$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under52c4,604$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.9629748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under53c4,297$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.9537747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4296…1ab4backed Under50c4,236$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…2ac1backed Under50c4,061$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.9879549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x247e…c834backed Under50c3,987$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc579…d8d5backed Over50c3,943$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.5718349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d9d…06a9backed Under50c3,886$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6f…170ebacked Under50c3,801$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over51c3,759$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.568648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237a…9044backed Under50c3,601$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aab…601ebacked Under50c3,506$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7533100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x572d…2b3abacked Under50c3,408$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe028…1c0bbacked Under50c3,394$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c3,007$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.4380737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over49c3,000$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.9857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe900…14cdbacked Under51c2,993$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.832277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.1wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+54.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3fde…c56fbacked Over50c2,907$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c2,600$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.973,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c2,574$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40c8…9b8fbacked Over50c2,520$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85b…7660backed Under50c2,492$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef07…7740backed Over50c2,473$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a3…304dbacked Over50c2,470$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc7…957dbacked Over50c2,464$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f7…6b0cbacked Under50c2,456$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2283100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22d2…ba1ebacked Over50c2,449$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf50…6867backed Over50c2,449$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6549…f36fbacked Over50c2,446$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f44…4ea4backed Under50c2,440$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f5…5daabacked Under50c2,414$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9e…3a9abacked Over50c2,413$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d4…8bf2backed Over50c2,411$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ff…9a72backed Over50c2,399$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf496…449dbacked Over50c2,395$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.