TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,029 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No61c1,544$941 inLost-$940.9765762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Yes39c666.67$260 inWon+$406.676031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Yes39c595.15$232 inWon+$363.041,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes46c423.33$194 inWon+$229.3322036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes39c229.54$90 inWon+$140.0271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No59c169.07$100 inLost-$99.714,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed No64c157.22$100 inLost-$10014753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No55c132.65$72 inLost-$72.333,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inWon+$78.216435.9%23 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No61c93.66$57 inLost-$57.1395260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No60c78.4$47 inLost-$47.281,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed No59c70$41 inLost-$41.340053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes38c60.62$23 inWon+$37.3677549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b08…1531backed No52c50$26 inLost-$26944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked No61c47.8$29 inLost-$29.1313448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No63c40$25 inLost-$2596956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a6…3a93backed Yes38c39.97$15 inWon+$24.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+80.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Yes37c39$14 inWon+$24.574240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked Yes39c38.5$15 inWon+$23.483450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Yes39c38.46$15 inWon+$23.462962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No63c30$19 inLost-$18.990357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38fb…f59abacked Yes39c29.02$11 inWon+$17.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.