Tennis · resolved market
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Sumit Nagal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe852383851d8d6ad728a86783cd477125e3e9ed5cc74f01a7558e5f130561302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lukas Neumayerof Lukas Neumayer, Sumit Nagal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,413 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lukas Neumayer | 35c | 9,204$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,948.6 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…316cbacked Sumit Nagal | 62c | 8,253$5,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,116.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sumit Nagal | 49c | 7,739$3,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790.75 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lukas Neumayer | 40c | 6,483$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.97 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sumit Nagal | 55c | 4,806$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.98 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sumit Nagal | 63c | 4,727$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.36 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sumit Nagal | 48c | 4,353$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.35 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Lukas Neumayer | 21c | 3,868$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.74 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lukas Neumayer | 38c | 3,466$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.18 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Sumit Nagal | 54c | 3,431$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.54 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Lukas Neumayer | 44c | 3,205$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.83 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Sumit Nagal | 45c | 3,185$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.62 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lukas Neumayer | 39c | 2,107$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.12 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Lukas Neumayer | 40c | 1,940$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.03 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Lukas Neumayer | 26c | 1,912$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.81 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Lukas Neumayer | 30c | 1,778$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.9 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Lukas Neumayer | 51c | 1,775$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.36 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Lukas Neumayer | 55c | 1,759$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.84 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Lukas Neumayer | 48c | 1,655$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.57 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Sumit Nagal | 79c | 1,400$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.79 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Lukas Neumayer | 55c | 1,371$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.87 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Lukas Neumayer | 43c | 1,314$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.43 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Lukas Neumayer | 46c | 1,299$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.26 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Lukas Neumayer | 40c | 1,240$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.22 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Lukas Neumayer | 46c | 1,211$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.88 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Sumit Nagal | 45c | 1,210$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.5 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lukas Neumayer | 47c | 1,202$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.93 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Sumit Nagal | 42c | 1,179$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sumit Nagal | 45c | 1,089$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.26 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sumit Nagal | 72c | 1,082$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.04 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Lukas Neumayer | 49c | 1,026$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.57 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 29c | 992.87$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.87 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Lukas Neumayer | 46c | 955.17$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.17 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sumit Nagal | 61c | 890.21$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.46 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Sumit Nagal | 66c | 762.25$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.69 | 582 | 48.3%281 W · 301 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Lukas Neumayer | 44c | 705.64$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.64 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Sumit Nagal | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.33 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Lukas Neumayer | 57c | 681.2$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.92 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Sumit Nagal | 53c | 645.63$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.08 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…b1a9backed Lukas Neumayer | 55c | 637.48$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Lukas Neumayer | 33c | 625$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.75 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Sumit Nagal | 17c | 576.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 275 | 66.5%183 W · 92 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Sumit Nagal | 34c | 572.55$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.31 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Lukas Neumayer | 47c | 567.77$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.24 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Sumit Nagal | 59c | 559.08$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sumit Nagal | 71c | 534.97$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.83 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sumit Nagal | 43c | 465.74$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Lukas Neumayer | 45c | 448.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.44 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 25c | 435.78$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.2 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Lukas Neumayer | 46c | 435.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.22 | 521 | 33%172 W · 349 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Sumit Nagal | 49c | 413$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.39 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 35c | 412.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Lukas Neumayer | 49c | 409.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.68 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sumit Nagal | 46c | 408.12$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.74 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Lukas Neumayer | 38c | 397.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.27 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Lukas Neumayer | 54c | 380$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Lukas Neumayer | 27c | 370.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.76 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Lukas Neumayer | 53c | 366$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.3 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Lukas Neumayer | 50c | 354$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.44 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Sumit Nagal | 43c | 339.05$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Sumit Nagal | 48c | 331.25$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lukas Neumayer | 27c | 321.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.12 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Lukas Neumayer | 53c | 311.15$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.15 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sumit Nagal | 59c | 305.9$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Sumit Nagal | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Lukas Neumayer | 32c | 291.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.76 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Sumit Nagal | 69c | 290.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Sumit Nagal | 39c | 285.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Lukas Neumayer | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Sumit Nagal | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 55c | 264.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Sumit Nagal | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x554b…d986backed Lukas Neumayer | 51c | 233.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Lukas Neumayer | 26c | 224.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.48 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lukas Neumayer | 32c | 220.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sumit Nagal | 22c | 204.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Lukas Neumayer | 44c | 197$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Sumit Nagal | 43c | 187.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Sumit Nagal | 45c | 186.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 346 | 48.3%167 W · 179 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Lukas Neumayer | 54c | 184.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed Lukas Neumayer | 55c | 181.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 54c | 180.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Lukas Neumayer | 59c | 175.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Sumit Nagal | 45c | 171.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Lukas Neumayer | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Sumit Nagal | 42c | 168.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sumit Nagal | 39c | 164.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Sumit Nagal | 16c | 164.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Sumit Nagal | 53c | 162.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 28c | 156.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lukas Neumayer | 35c | 156.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Lukas Neumayer | 67c | 145.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lukas Neumayer | 53c | 141.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Sumit Nagal | 72c | 140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Lukas Neumayer | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Sumit Nagal | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Sumit Nagal | 47c | 127.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Lukas Neumayer | 54c | 117.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Lukas Neumayer | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Sumit Nagal | 45c | 102.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Sumit Nagalthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Neumayer vs NagalNagal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.