NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Oilers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc095eb220d51aec405ff3f4f9e881fd2db48ddf2efa930f6d4f84db2553c2b15

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Oilersof Kraken, Oilers
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $386,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $419,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,479 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Oilers	63c	143,809$90,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,747.3	670	51%342 W · 328 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Kraken	37c	93,086$34,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,441.93	224	43.8%98 W · 126 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Kraken	37c	71,449$26,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,700.74	1,070	49.9%534 W · 536 L	+22.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Oilers	63c	70,000$44,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,900	367	48%176 W · 191 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kraken	37c	30,000$11,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,100	485	45.4%220 W · 265 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kraken	38c	10,713$4,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,071	852	50.2%428 W · 424 L	-26.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Kraken	37c	10,000$3,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,700	510	45.5%232 W · 278 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Kraken	38c	9,690$3,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,682.35	500	49.6%248 W · 252 L	+16.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers	62c	8,798$5,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,343.32	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Oilers	63c	8,000$5,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,960	617	48.5%299 W · 318 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Kraken	38c	5,263$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	134	46.3%62 W · 72 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Oilers	63c	4,759$2,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760.83	321	51.7%166 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Kraken	38c	4,725$1,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,795.49	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Oilers	66c	4,482$2,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,503.71	334	50.9%170 W · 164 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Oilers	62c	4,469$2,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,676.58	1,434	50.8%728 W · 706 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kraken	38c	4,231$1,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,607.86	619	50.1%310 W · 309 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Oilers	62c	4,200$2,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,596	435	48.5%211 W · 224 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Kraken	37c	4,000$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.85	291	46.7%136 W · 155 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Oilers	79c	3,651$2,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.01	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Kraken	38c	3,611$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,372.18	275	47.6%131 W · 144 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Kraken	11c	2,850$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.25	332	34.3%114 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Oilers	62c	2,831$1,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,084.19	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+3.8wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken	22c	2,800$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.98	603	37.5%226 W · 377 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Oilers	62c	2,630$1,631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.4	70	54.3%38 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken	10c	2,152$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.68	896	36.9%331 W · 565 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Oilers	79c	2,105$1,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.6	119	50.4%60 W · 59 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58fb…1f65backed Kraken	17c	2,044$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.34	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Oilers	63c	2,000$1,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740	270	48.1%130 W · 140 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Oilers	77c	1,909$1,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.65	854	64.2%548 W · 306 L	+64.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Oilers	62c	1,900$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$724.76	769	50.3%387 W · 382 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Oilers	63c	1,587$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.3	752	51.7%389 W · 363 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Oilers	76c	1,512$1,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.47	302	59.6%180 W · 122 L	+31.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Kraken	17c	1,474$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Kraken	22c	1,361$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.57	162	35.2%57 W · 105 L	-9.3wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Kraken	38c	1,316$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kraken	36c	1,262$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454	1,301	52.6%684 W · 617 L	+23.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Kraken	6c	1,214$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.72	338	37.9%128 W · 210 L	-14.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Oilers	62c	1,195$741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.1	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kraken	7c	1,157$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	544	18%98 W · 446 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kraken	9c	1,128$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.87	274	48.9%134 W · 140 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Kraken	12c	1,056$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.05	183	44.8%82 W · 101 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kraken	3c	1,030$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.96	86	57%49 W · 37 L	+8.5wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Oilers	62c	1,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	457	49.2%225 W · 232 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Oilers	61c	1,000$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	98	53.1%52 W · 46 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Oilers	62c	1,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd74…888dbacked Oilers	61c	1,000$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kraken	16c	992.85$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.52	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x46e5…79f3backed Kraken	12c	985$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.2	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked Oilers	63c	854.14$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.29	25	48%12 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Oilers	63c	800$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296	243	47.7%116 W · 127 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Kraken	38c	800$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	223	52.9%118 W · 105 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e4c…28ddbacked Kraken	39c	800$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Oilers	73c	775$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.5	519	49.5%257 W · 262 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Oilers	70c	747.7$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.49	222	50%111 W · 111 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Kraken	13c	730$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.03	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Oilers	63c	700$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259	326	48.2%157 W · 169 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Kraken	19c	699$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.98	283	40.3%114 W · 169 L	-24.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Kraken	38c	657.89$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	299	46.8%140 W · 159 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Oilers	63c	650$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.5	384	45.8%176 W · 208 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kraken	23c	650$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.5	996	38.2%380 W · 616 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Kraken	38c	504.55$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.73	146	38.4%56 W · 90 L	-14.0wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Oilers	62c	500$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	400	49.3%197 W · 203 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Kraken	39c	500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	492	49.6%244 W · 248 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Oilers	63c	476.19$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.19	97	62.9%61 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Oilers	63c	476.19$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.19	306	57.8%177 W · 129 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Kraken	7c	456.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.14	256	35.9%92 W · 164 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Kraken	37c	441.96$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.52	1,377	49.1%676 W · 701 L	+39.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Kraken	15c	438$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.95	920	49.7%457 W · 463 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1a…4f77backed Kraken	39c	421.26$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.29	386	45.1%174 W · 212 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Oilers	63c	418.52$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.85	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa35…2a55backed Oilers	62c	413$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.94	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Kraken	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	215	34.4%74 W · 141 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Oilers	61c	399.97$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.99	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Oilers	63c	396.83$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.83	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Oilers	59c	392.74$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.34	385	55.6%214 W · 171 L	+24.1wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Oilers	62c	350$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kraken	10c	330.93$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.09	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Oilers	63c	326$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.62	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Kraken	8c	319.97$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	598	52.3%313 W · 285 L	+34.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kraken	4c	305$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	1,140	51.5%587 W · 553 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Kraken	38c	300$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	572	38.1%218 W · 354 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…5da2backed Kraken	38c	300$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	220	43.2%95 W · 125 L	+8.8wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Oilers	62c	300$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	502	51.2%257 W · 245 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Kraken	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	140	12.9%18 W · 122 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Kraken	38c	269.58$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.44	293	45.1%132 W · 161 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x832c…2ad8backed Kraken	9c	267.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Oilers	62c	258.06$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.06	1,093	51.8%566 W · 527 L	+14.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a2…57b8backed Kraken	10c	256.17$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10e5…b756backed Oilers	62c	250$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Kraken	10c	245.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	156	54.5%85 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Oilers	62c	241.94$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.94	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Oilers	62c	241.94$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.94	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Kraken	11c	234.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.85	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Kraken	6c	232.36$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed Kraken	39c	212.82$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	309	51.5%159 W · 150 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Kraken	25c	208.16$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.15	185	47.6%88 W · 97 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Oilers	63c	205$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.85	98	49%48 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Oilers	63c	205$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.85	78	57.7%45 W · 33 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Oilers	63c	205$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.85	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kraken	38c	200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	1,220	46.1%562 W · 658 L	+22.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kraken vs. Oilers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event