NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa184b4c529267de1e8c01f83183bfb6251d7f7d3a45012483ce2db5b3fa5b2b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 51c | 13,432$6,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,581.8 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.17 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 46c | 1,100$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Under | 55c | 1,015$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.55 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 49c | 611$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.39 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 580$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.36 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 51c | 552.25$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.52 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 515.7$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.54 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 501.18$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.18 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 495.9$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.95 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Over | 50c | 449.53$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.27 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 284.34$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 214.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 51c | 206$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 53c | 110.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 48c | 108.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 50c | 106.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 50c | 105.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 50c | 88.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 49c | 88.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 51c | 80.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f42bbacked Over | 50c | 79.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 47c | 78.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d32…8212backed Under | 51c | 70.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 52c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 49c | 52.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f35…64dbbacked Under | 51c | 52.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 52c | 39.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…1100backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…fffdbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6663…e301backed Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 51c | 29.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Under | 50c | 28.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…abc3backed Over | 50c | 28.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 51c | 28.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…15adbacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff2…38edbacked Over | 50c | 23.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…0e3dbacked Over | 50c | 22.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…5defbacked Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…6b69backed Over | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…113fbacked Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…7f1bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 56c | 18.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Kraken vs. OilersOilers won
- Kraken vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.