NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4e11c0e28dca7b845a783c94b74672a58eb0617db4e2b1f088ea1cbfdcea1a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Blackhawks, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,537 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks | 32c | 29,744$9,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,373.86 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Predators | 68c | 6,931$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.93 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Predators | 69c | 6,438$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.42 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Predators | 75c | 4,078$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.08 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…41f8backed Blackhawks | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Predators | 69c | 2,801$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.34 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 69c | 2,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Blackhawks | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Predators | 68c | 1,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blackhawks | 26c | 1,468$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.8 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Blackhawks | 25c | 1,131$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.83 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Predators | 69c | 449.86$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Blackhawks | 27c | 407.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Blackhawks | 26c | 367.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Predators | 71c | 366.03$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Blackhawks | 26c | 340$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Blackhawks | 26c | 319.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Predators | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Predators | 68c | 220.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Blackhawks | 26c | 212.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Predators | 69c | 203$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5f…d88bbacked Blackhawks | 32c | 185.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Blackhawks | 26c | 184.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Predators | 70c | 166$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blackhawks | 26c | 165.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Predators | 61c | 162.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Blackhawks | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Predators | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Predators | 66c | 141.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…dc22backed Predators | 73c | 136.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Predators | 69c | 122.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Predators | 71c | 112.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 71c | 109.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Predators | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Predators | 72c | 100.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Predators | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Predators | 68c | 82.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Predators | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Predators | 71c | 72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Blackhawks | 29c | 68.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…13e1backed Predators | 61c | 68.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Blackhawks | 26c | 66.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab28…0ed3backed Blackhawks | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Blackhawks | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Predators | 71c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Blackhawks | 30c | 47.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Blackhawks | 26c | 45.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Predators | 68c | 43.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Predators | 71c | 42.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Predators | 69c | 41.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Predators | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Blackhawks | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Predators | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…908abacked Predators | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Predators | 69c | 18.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Predators | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Predators | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Predators | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb860…e71fbacked Predators | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. BlackhawksPredators won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.