NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02e0d07d38fee104b7af1bbfb8d13d8e16b99abf72bc46e1f3857cf7b5db5124
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,923 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 44c | 72,742$32,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,006.7 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 56c | 48,019$26,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,128.29 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 10,167$5,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.48 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 6,814$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.61 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 6,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Over | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 56c | 2,997$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.87 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 1,815$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.6 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 44c | 1,162$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.34 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 16c | 1,050$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 291.04$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 228.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd67…02bfbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 31c | 226.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 69c | 200.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 56c | 150.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 131.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Under | 57c | 123.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 43c | 122.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 33c | 119.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under | 70c | 109.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 44c | 103.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Under | 63c | 97.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 24c | 86.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 76c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 57c | 68.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 75c | 52.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…20e9backed Under | 57c | 30.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 56c | 29.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 45c | 24.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 55c | 22.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 69c | 20.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…6a02backed Under | 68c | 16.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.77 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5this page
- Predators vs. BlackhawksPredators won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)Predators won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.