NHL · resolved market
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56ac27bfd978f3ec55973388db05c14bea5c11454bd0719b5a3dd09dedb987ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Predators, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,632 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks | 72c | 13,474$9,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.32 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Predators | 32c | 5,841$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Predators | 28c | 3,502$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.75 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Blackhawks | 68c | 3,448$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.44 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Predators | 28c | 2,550$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.95 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Predators | 28c | 2,550$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Predators | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Predators | 27c | 448.11$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Predators | 28c | 345$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blackhawks | 69c | 312.92$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 21c | 281.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Predators | 14c | 274.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Blackhawks | 78c | 218.3$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Predators | 27c | 188$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Blackhawks | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Blackhawks | 79c | 161.01$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Predators | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Predators | 31c | 128.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Predators | 27c | 126.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Predators | 17c | 82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blackhawks | 71c | 80.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Predators | 31c | 64.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…c760backed Blackhawks | 73c | 40.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Blackhawks | 69c | 36.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Blackhawks | 74c | 29.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. BlackhawksPredators won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.