TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$278,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,276 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over55c226,674$124,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124,663.7220354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under45c74,995$33,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,247.257946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c64,835$29,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,660.0551550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c64,602$29,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,531.231,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c24,553$12,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,334.1241842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under45c23,216$10,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,768.7936748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,85026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c5,725$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.172,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over55c4,995$2,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.231952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c4,516$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.91,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under60c4,395$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.71,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over55c3,667$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under60c2,478$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.141,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c1,600$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88091653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c1,154$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.162,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over55c837.41$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.581,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over55c750$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.513049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under56c735.43$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.433,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37832648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c632.86$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.421,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under45c577.78$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.783135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Under45c538$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under65c530.99$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2930348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over56c492.23$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.061553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over55c400$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21835349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under52c386.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2125449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bd…20e9backed Under47c367.2$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.836857.4%39 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under50c351.2$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2418557.8%107 W · 78 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over44c334.09$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.312,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over55c318.18$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17548552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under62c317.36$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.751,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1657857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Over54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16274951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Under53c291.48$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.367363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Over36c262.95$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.731833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c254.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.42,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under66c247$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.131,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over50c246.13$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1313336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over31c238.11$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.391,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x461b…30ddbacked Over55c236.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3922151.1%113 W · 108 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under45c212$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.65549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c191.4$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0928549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Under47c190.89$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.171643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under64c186.95$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.941,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under45c163.57$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.968457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under47c151$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.037648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under47c151$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.036346%29 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under47c144$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3234752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under75c135$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7515265.1%99 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Under46c133.97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.341963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over43c132.89$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5719033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked Over55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over36c123$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.41,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dab…dc59backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5515650%78 W · 78 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159145.1%41 W · 50 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under44c98.17$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.981,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Under46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.844553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under44c94.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.037054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under47c93.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.627454.1%40 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under45c91$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0513758.4%80 W · 57 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Under45c91$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.058757.5%50 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over55c91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under45c88.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.916549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Under45c84.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.643961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked Over55c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.255550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over56c66.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4742558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Under45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.673158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Under68c66.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1833756.4%190 W · 147 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f8…22babacked Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.47152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.127250%136 W · 136 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3321651.4%111 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under46c59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.864955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under66c58.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7637857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under57c58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0322759.5%135 W · 92 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60d…03a8backed Under46c52.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.174746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Under45c51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.054040%16 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe565…6a38backed Under60c50.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.221656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Under62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.397145.1%32 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Under46c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over55c44.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7213050%65 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Over54c40.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.664946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over40c37.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Over55c36.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.993754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under45c36.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8138551.4%198 W · 187 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Under47c35.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.824245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under47c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.028749.4%43 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde2…3fcfbacked Under47c33.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.953455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Under46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Over39c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.413552.6%71 W · 64 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under45c31.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1647753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a9…73debacked Under47c30.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.281163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.