NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf392207035affcb8d6826b7fbc1887abce52fd1e188baca9d7aad36d934699a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,665 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 49c | 8,520$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.39 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 4,014$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.46 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 51c | 1,713$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 899.43$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.78 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Under | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 41c | 627.22$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.86 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 456.2$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.05 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 19c | 137.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 20c | 88.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 63c | 79.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 66c | 66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 29c | 63.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 51c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 40c | 53.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 52c | 30.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…682dbacked Over | 49c | 28.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 63c | 23.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5this page
- Predators vs. BlackhawksPredators won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)Predators won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.