NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x756c4aac100a73fe4ca229f6897f6f75e0a6655a8149adf271232a39b8f0745f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Celtics, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,585 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics | 47c | 28,282$13,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,368.86 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 49c | 25,365$12,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,459.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics | 47c | 22,181$10,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,425.04 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Suns | 53c | 17,208$9,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,087.55 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 47c | 9,815$4,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,588.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Suns | 53c | 8,584$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.29 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3632…7e1ebacked Suns | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…346fbacked Suns | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.17 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -61%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Suns | 49c | 7,107$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.57 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Suns | 51c | 6,068$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.42 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Suns | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa669…a7c2backed Suns | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Suns | 53c | 5,264$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.15 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Celtics | 47c | 4,100$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.97 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 52c | 3,926$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Suns | 53c | 3,628$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.3 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Celtics | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…a4d5backed Celtics | 48c | 3,069$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Suns | 53c | 2,708$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.55 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Celtics | 46c | 2,496$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.17 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Suns | 53c | 2,419$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.87 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Suns | 53c | 2,251$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.85 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Celtics | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.09 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 47c | 1,945$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.33 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Suns | 53c | 1,896$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.23 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Suns | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 47c | 1,569$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.62 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Suns | 49c | 1,569$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.85 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Suns | 53c | 1,508$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.76 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Celtics | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 53c | 1,284$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Suns | 53c | 1,217$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.98 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Suns | 53c | 1,070$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.9 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Suns | 54c | 1,068$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.64 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics | 46c | 1,014$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.35 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Suns | 51c | 999.86$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.93 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 47c | 986.81$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics | 44c | 937.34$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.54 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Suns | 53c | 761.09$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.71 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Suns | 52c | 759.4$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Celtics | 50c | 691.86$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.14 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Celtics | 46c | 686.8$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.95 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Suns | 53c | 685.6$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.23 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 47c | 676.15$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.79 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Suns | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Suns | 53c | 566$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Suns | 51c | 499.92$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.96 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Celtics | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Celtics | 49c | 408.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Celtics | 48c | 365.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Suns | 55c | 337.72$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Suns | 53c | 325$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Suns | 52c | 312.33$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.92 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…328ebacked Suns | 53c | 269.38$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Celtics | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Suns | 51c | 225.03$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Suns | 52c | 220$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Celtics | 48c | 209.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Suns | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Celtics | 35c | 199.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Suns | 56c | 180$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Suns | 49c | 163.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Suns | 53c | 161.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Suns | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Suns | 52c | 141.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Suns | 56c | 137.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 50c | 132.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Suns | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Suns | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Suns | 52c | 121.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…4ab2backed Suns | 49c | 119.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Suns | 53c | 110.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Suns | 53c | 105.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Celtics | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…0822backed Celtics | 40c | 103.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Suns | 50c | 102.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Suns | 53c | 100.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Suns | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Celtics | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Suns | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Suns | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Celtics | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Celtics | 48c | 92.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Suns | 50c | 91.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Suns | 71c | 86.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Celtics | 47c | 86.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Suns | 57c | 85.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Suns | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Suns | 53c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Suns | 54c | 79.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Suns | 55c | 72.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Celtics | 57c | 67.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Suns | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Suns | 55c | 60.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…8ae5backed Celtics | 46c | 59.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Suns | 52c | 55.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Suns | 52c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Celtics | 48c | 51.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Suns won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.