TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Celtics, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,585 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics47c28,282$13,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,368.861,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics49c25,365$12,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,459.084,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics47c22,181$10,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,425.041,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Suns53c17,208$9,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,087.5534854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics47c9,815$4,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,588.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Suns53c8,584$4,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,071.2956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3632…7e1ebacked Suns53c7,547$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,547.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ac…346fbacked Suns53c7,547$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,547.171421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-61%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Suns49c7,107$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,624.5711335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Suns51c6,068$3,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.422,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Suns56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6401,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa669…a7c2backed Suns53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.381250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Suns53c5,264$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.1511159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Celtics47c4,100$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.9757950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns52c3,926$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Suns53c3,628$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Celtics48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaec…a4d5backed Celtics48c3,069$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Suns53c2,708$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.5518749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics46c2,496$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.172,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Suns53c2,419$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.875046%23 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Suns53c2,251$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.8530446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Celtics49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0926637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics47c1,945$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.333,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Suns53c1,896$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.2313750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Suns54c1,700$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78213534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics47c1,569$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.624,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Suns49c1,569$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.8511942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Suns53c1,508$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.7616953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Celtics48c1,458$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns53c1,284$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Suns53c1,217$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.9825452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Suns53c1,070$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.926553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Suns54c1,068$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.642,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics46c1,014$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.351,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Suns51c999.86$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.9380737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics47c986.81$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics44c937.34$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.541,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Suns53c761.09$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.715349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Suns52c759.4$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.7587744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Celtics50c691.86$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.142,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Celtics46c686.8$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9551438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Suns53c685.6$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2336351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics47c676.15$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.791,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked Suns53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.046266.1%41 W · 21 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Suns53c566$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0223553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Suns51c499.92$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9652844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Celtics48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Celtics49c408.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Celtics48c365.25$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3240146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Suns55c337.72$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.513,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Suns53c325$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.755740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Suns52c312.33$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a5…328ebacked Suns53c269.38$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4710844.4%48 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.53,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Celtics45c244.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11045542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Suns51c225.03$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2421349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Suns52c220$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.15738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Celtics48c209.48$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Suns48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3337852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Celtics35c199.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Suns56c180$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.761957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Suns49c163.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.291,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Suns53c161.23$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5860250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Suns54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1581845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Suns52c141.66$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6818242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Suns56c137.65$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5718345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns50c132.94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.85,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Suns53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0821743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Suns53c128.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.323143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Suns52c121.45$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.322,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Suns49c119.39$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.398043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Suns53c110.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.759458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Suns53c105.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Celtics48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59d…0822backed Celtics40c103.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.882060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Suns50c102.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.745452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Suns53c100.45$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2120762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Suns53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4766153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Celtics48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4815156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f2…0a1dbacked Suns52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Suns59c99.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.522456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Celtics54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010050%50 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Celtics48c92.18$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2520847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Suns50c91.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5537848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…7a45backed Suns71c86.91$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Celtics47c86.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.631,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Suns57c85.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1990357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Suns53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.914742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Suns53c84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.485843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Suns54c79.61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.621,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Suns55c72.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3231540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Celtics57c67.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5514047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Suns53c62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1495260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Suns55c60.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4829645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f7c…8ae5backed Celtics46c59.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.542356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Suns52c55.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Suns52c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4438252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Celtics48c51.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8142153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.