NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0633fb2bb2a2c20376b61020ca76a8ab8519afb36597d2c53cc60cf23fd8e13d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $387,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,265 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 51c | 80,209$41,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,962.26 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 60,361$29,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,604.72 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 58,942$30,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,196.08 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 54,971$26,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,081.19 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 35,533$16,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,884.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 53c | 22,455$11,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,559.29 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 12,376$6,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,903.56 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Under | 47c | 8,343$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.21 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,848.62 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 48c | 7,205$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.9 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 51c | 5,725$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 4,606$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 48c | 4,551$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.48 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 48c | 4,480$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.6 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 47c | 4,172$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.84 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 4,090$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.49 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 48c | 3,711$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.73 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 55c | 3,347$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.15 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 50c | 2,934$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.59 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 52c | 2,925$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.02 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 2,782$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.28 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 2,768$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.88 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 2,689$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.44 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 48c | 2,371$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.65 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 2,339$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9f…3cc5backed Over | 51c | 2,308$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 55c | 2,151$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.93 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad00…91bfbacked Over | 50c | 2,024$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 2,006$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa836…85f3backed Under | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…c3babacked Over | 50c | 1,932$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 64c | 1,898$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.57 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf467…879fbacked Under | 50c | 1,792$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…d871backed Under | 50c | 1,727$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…e91dbacked Under | 50c | 1,718$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac78…209abacked Under | 50c | 1,698$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b4…cf29backed Over | 50c | 1,685$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885d…a0a8backed Under | 50c | 1,570$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…dc6cbacked Over | 50c | 1,553$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e25…5e24backed Over | 50c | 1,551$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…9ca7backed Over | 50c | 1,483$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…7755backed Over | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…17b0backed Under | 50c | 1,454$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…7c74backed Under | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b0…b946backed Over | 50c | 1,415$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Over | 49c | 1,369$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.32 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb8…2735backed Over | 50c | 1,318$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Under | 47c | 1,254$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.68 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 39c | 1,252$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.06 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…0966backed Under | 50c | 1,238$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…8fb5backed Over | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8b…417abacked Under | 50c | 1,215$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 47c | 1,185$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.73 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 53c | 1,179$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.46 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 1,159$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.82 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…33afbacked Over | 50c | 1,127$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26d…91a4backed Over | 50c | 1,105$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…2bf9backed Under | 50c | 1,060$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 47c | 1,009$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.23 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 51c | 988.46$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.46 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de8…9a97backed Over | 50c | 983$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…88c5backed Under | 51c | 961$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479a…40c8backed Under | 50c | 904$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…5378backed Over | 50c | 902$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bf…5624backed Over | 50c | 867$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 47c | 811.42$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.37 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Over | 54c | 734.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.74 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…8b15backed Over | 50c | 729$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Over | 49c | 704.66$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.94 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 52c | 660.79$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.17 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…7f48backed Over | 49c | 645.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 639.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 53c | 578.3$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.04 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…486fbacked Under | 50c | 547$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 5c | 546.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 53c | 536.31$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.43 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Under | 47c | 529.79$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…12dcbacked Under | 50c | 506$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd603…71a2backed Under | 50c | 505$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.49 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 481$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.07 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Under | 47c | 477.28$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.32 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 45c | 452.09$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.73 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1f…22eabacked Under | 50c | 448$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 49c | 439.72$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 45c | 438.16$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 425.7$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.36 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 52c | 412.55$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 53c | 394.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Over | 53c | 375.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.51 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Suns won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Suns won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
- Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.