CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Players vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c6c6412abcb1c91c3530bbe78faefb7bb78102a53b417eebf5449a952cb46c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Playersof Players, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,525 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guara Esports | 50c | 2,132$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.9 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Guara Esports | 50c | 1,616$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.08 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked Players | 65c | 1,078$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.81 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guara Esports | 55c | 565.8$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.26 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Guara Esports | 70c | 519.02$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.32 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed Guara Esports | 35c | 470$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…2b54backed Players | 64c | 470$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Guara Esports | 50c | 459$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.74 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Guara Esports | 68c | 385.94$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.13 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Players | 72c | 385$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Guara Esports | 50c | 377.34$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.9 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Players | 53c | 371.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.56 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Players | 60c | 330.82$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Players | 35c | 314.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.96 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -20.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Players | 18c | 312.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.21 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Players | 18c | 306.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Players | 36c | 253.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.61 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Players | 64c | 204.94$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Guara Esports | 69c | 203$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Guara Esports | 64c | 200$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Players | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Players | 13c | 162.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…2387backed Players | 37c | 144$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Players | 59c | 106.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Players | 49c | 103.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Players | 79c | 101.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Players | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Guara Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Guara Esports | 17c | 91.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Players | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Guara Esports | 61c | 82.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Guara Esports | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Guara Esports | 60c | 74.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…9d70backed Guara Esports | 26c | 69.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Players | 44c | 68.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Guara Esports | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb860…e71fbacked Guara Esports | 22c | 61.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Guara Esports | 38c | 57.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Players | 29c | 54.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb13…b7f8backed Players | 54c | 52.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Guara Esports | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Players | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…95b7backed Players | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…cb59backed Guara Esports | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Guara Esports | 38c | 42.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…bf81backed Players | 38c | 38.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked Players | 57c | 37.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Guara Esports | 41c | 30.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Players | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Guara Esports | 46c | 26.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Guara Esports | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…4d64backed Guara Esports | 59c | 22.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Guara Esports | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Players | 58c | 18.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Guara Esports | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group StagePlayers won
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerPlayers won
- Map Handicap: PLS (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.