TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$332,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,635 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99e4…e4c4backed Liquid18c24,917$4,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.1122142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liquid23c13,633$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.163,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Liquid0c10,231$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Liquid17c8,625$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.2535850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Liquid18c7,982$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9930726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Spirit76c6,032$4,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.8439248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Liquid11c5,397$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.1222927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Liquid25c4,857$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.0353746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Liquid23c4,373$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid19c4,281$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.457,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Liquid19c4,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Liquid10c3,969$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.28750.6%44 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Spirit74c3,897$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.8112449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Liquid20c3,629$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70810251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Spirit66c3,012$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.9537646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed Liquid11c2,892$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.7510663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Liquid38c2,661$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Spirit79c2,573$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.8538868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bbd…1ec9backed Liquid19c2,487$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.534742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Liquid1c2,224$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.24200%0 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Liquid18c2,040$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.5421939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Liquid17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3408050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid21c1,911$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.536,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit77c1,845$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.521,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Liquid18c1,826$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.647738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Liquid19c1,560$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Spirit78c1,491$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.1746165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid22c1,434$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.531,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid13c1,316$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.675,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Liquid16c1,203$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1134542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit80c1,191$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.222,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Liquid17c1,165$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0510549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid26c1,079$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.384,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…9d98backed Liquid9c1,021$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Liquid30c1,010$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Liquid16c1,007$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.621,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Liquid19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Liquid18c999.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Liquid22c999$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.551,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Liquid20c930$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18611940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Liquid25c928.1$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.053,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Liquid5c924.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1169624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Liquid23c913.85$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2213756.2%77 W · 60 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Liquid10c865.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Liquid9c828.57$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7425352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Liquid18c826.23$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3524544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Liquid16c812.38$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.492,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Liquid20c811.46$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16680744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Liquid19c809.96$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.11,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Liquid19c755.95$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4715641%64 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit76c745.64$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.821,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Spirit80c695.93$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1910550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed Liquid17c580.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9924944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a1e…8ecabacked Spirit76c553.16$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.32055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+61.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Spirit70c549.43$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2788746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Spirit69c548$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8413743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78de…b08bbacked Spirit79c531.43$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Liquid19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed Liquid18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Liquid7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Liquid21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Spirit80c456.5$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.553850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Spirit67c450.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6318342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Liquid17c447$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9929831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Liquid12c429.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Spirit80c411.73$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3541069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid10c405.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.945,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Spirit75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10036555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb79…f6c9backed Spirit78c383.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.731947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Liquid19c315.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6054439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d8…37ecbacked Liquid12c313.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-56.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Spirit64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.550846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Liquid15c304.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2132536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Liquid8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4345455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Liquid9c299.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6396543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Spirit79c292.33$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.384,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…5236backed Liquid11c283.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Liquid15c267.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1247641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Liquid8c255.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.652,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e5…9bedbacked Liquid20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Liquid8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-60.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1448…b30bbacked Spirit80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509546.3%44 W · 51 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Spirit65c240$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8419448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Liquid18c220.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7821956.2%123 W · 96 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3129…22edbacked Spirit78c219.05$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.051346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Liquid24c211.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Liquid19c209.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.912352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Spirit70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6036837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Spirit79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Spirit72c200$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa743…7300backed Liquid25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65e3…4351backed Spirit75c199.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.211850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb91…d0eabacked Liquid13c191.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.862429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Spirit74c177.43$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.591,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Spirit76c175.53$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.414367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a74…9694backed Spirit78c164.71$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.241457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x782e…ff8cbacked Spirit72c160.75$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.011181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+39.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f65…d822backed Liquid10c158.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.519443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa50…dc15backed Liquid19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305328.3%15 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Spirit70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.523057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.