TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$484,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,256 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Liquid14c47,675$6,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,901.2815245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Liquid14c23,587$3,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,302.2125842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Liquid3c15,528$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.013135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked Liquid15c15,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.996048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Liquid12c10,576$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.2742142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Liquid9c10,212$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92136742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Liquid16c9,894$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.1212441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Liquid9c9,500$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8301,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Liquid14c8,808$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.5897040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc22…5738backed Liquid16c8,748$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.491844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Liquid11c6,877$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.541735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Liquid13c6,505$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.6546149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Liquid8c6,476$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.121942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Liquid14c6,140$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.611637.9%44 W · 72 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Liquid14c5,210$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.4433043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Liquid4c5,034$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7929127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Liquid1c4,430$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.81,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Liquid15c4,374$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.337152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Liquid14c3,786$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53019834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Liquid10c3,440$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350100%0 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Liquid11c3,400$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.419645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Liquid6c3,345$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8821939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid13c3,155$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.275,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid6c3,038$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.877,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a42…4930backed Liquid12c2,740$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.12729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af8…a69ebacked Liquid8c2,534$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Liquid18c2,500$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.419043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe20…c1d8backed Liquid15c2,430$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1ce…3b06backed Liquid14c2,392$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.88922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Liquid15c2,282$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.2922448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Liquid12c2,226$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2708844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Liquid14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x336c…556ebacked Liquid2c1,905$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0450%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid5c1,885$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.782,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Liquid3c1,805$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1415641%64 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liquid3c1,717$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.063,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked Liquid14c1,600$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2243141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Liquid17c1,553$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.085,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Liquid4c1,511$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.646843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Liquid4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Liquid9c1,470$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.151,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid6c1,429$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.216,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Liquid15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed Liquid16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Liquid10c1,206$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8548319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xce7b…997dbacked Liquid2c1,202$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3250%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid5c1,166$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.061,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Liquid8c1,121$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6824339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Liquid2c1,052$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6647738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc578…5c1ebacked Liquid3c1,030$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.63357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Liquid15c1,024$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.542133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7f…70cdbacked Liquid5c1,008$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503225%8 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Liquid5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012637.3%47 W · 79 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Liquid4c923.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611928.6%34 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c4…ee30backed Liquid6c886.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Liquid5c851$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8121536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Liquid4c834.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…7eeebacked Liquid14c821.43$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Liquid16c790$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.48847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Liquid14c787.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.921,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7337…1fafbacked Liquid9c758.46$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6719022.6%43 W · 147 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Liquid15c750$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Liquid14c749.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.51,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Liquid7c702.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3820949.3%103 W · 106 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Liquid13c670$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.132732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…e882backed Liquid4c666.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Liquid15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed Liquid15c660$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Liquid10c634.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0720936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Liquid15c626.67$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9413151.9%68 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Liquid17c622.96$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8421650.9%110 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Liquid7c551.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2556732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Liquid15c523.41$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8125251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x687b…9e4ebacked Liquid15c521.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.77911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-58.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f03…2ddebacked Liquid6c501.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-61.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked Liquid17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856541.5%27 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked Liquid4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208633.7%29 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a4…ab0ebacked Liquid3c500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14613%6 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Liquid14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7024134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6633…dcfebacked Liquid15c499.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753125.8%8 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Liquid3c495.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.331,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid8c487.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.875,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d8…37ecbacked Liquid14c477.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-56.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Liquid11c469.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4543933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Liquid4c460$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.585,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Liquid6c426.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5147…a0b7backed Liquid8c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011732.5%38 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Liquid11c395.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…5ce7backed Liquid4c393.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.992020%4 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Liquid4c392.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Liquid13c364.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.49027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x739d…999bbacked Liquid5c363.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206759.7%40 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked Liquid13c337.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.420744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0d…63febacked Liquid14c335.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.033016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-57.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa172…0b26backed Liquid4c327.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7437…3ebebacked Liquid3c308.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a1…cff1backed Liquid17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+60.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Liquid16c286.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8217945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Liquid4c285$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6738037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.