CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x000f29e3eeef94d3bf0aef723ac4cc3964fae71835b56cc64c217aa72831aca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,317 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 5,234$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.53 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 31c | 1,656$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.23 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Under | 69c | 1,517$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.59 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 79c | 1,252$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.2 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Under | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed Under | 68c | 1,166$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.54 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Under | 70c | 1,019$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.2 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Over | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed Over | 37c | 816.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 38c | 664.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Under | 63c | 607.95$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.94 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 29c | 549.68$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.65 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 27c | 500.01$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…8c7bbacked Over | 15c | 416$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 25c | 391.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 37c | 360.41$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 32c | 343.91$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 64c | 304.05$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Under | 73c | 296.73$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Over | 32c | 280.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 36c | 275.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Under | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Under | 79c | 177.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x289b…178cbacked Under | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Under | 67c | 146.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 23c | 140.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 64c | 123$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…862abacked Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 99.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Over | 22c | 91.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Under | 67c | 87.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…110fbacked Under | 75c | 80.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 68c | 79.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 30c | 75.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…b2d3backed Over | 37c | 75.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…9694backed Under | 67c | 67.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked Under | 66c | 59.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Under | 70c | 57.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 66c | 56.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 75c | 52.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5a…a040backed Over | 30c | 50.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 31c | 49.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Over | 33c | 39.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 67c | 36.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Under | 68c | 35.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 285 | 56.8%162 W · 123 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…2bb3backed Under | 74c | 29.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Over | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Under | 67c | 25.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…acb9backed Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…62f5backed Under | 78c | 20.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…6c6bbacked Under | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad9…47e5backed Under | 65c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…67f7backed Under | 72c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Under | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.