TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Liquid40c53,522$21,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,668.815245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Spirit59c29,755$17,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,199.6339249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Liquid38c13,537$5,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,143.925842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Liquid37c12,342$4,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,579.3283652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Spirit61c12,128$7,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,779.5724846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Spirit60c12,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Spirit65c10,550$6,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654.4214441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Liquid40c10,036$4,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,034.4712441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Spirit62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8003135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Liquid39c8,208$3,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,201.1135153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Liquid40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Liquid32c4,000$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27098052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Liquid40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Liquid1c3,912$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.831,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Spirit63c3,492$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.062240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Spirit61c2,850$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12035940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73a8…5506backed Spirit60c2,570$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+128.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Spirit60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Liquid40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.981,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Spirit60c1,955$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78213044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Spirit61c1,952$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.478654.7%47 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Liquid39c1,781$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.1435850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Liquid40c1,761$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.4836742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spirit59c1,700$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6719346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Spirit60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60023932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05df…e268backed Spirit59c1,364$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.412576%19 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Liquid41c1,270$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.78847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Liquid40c1,263$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Spirit60c1,205$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.8115264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Spirit59c1,113$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.4810945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked Liquid38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3803141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Spirit62c968.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.4738358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Spirit62c940.63$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.449258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Spirit62c876.44$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.0527950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4340…1aecbacked Spirit61c827.08$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.563852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed Spirit62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.459246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Spirit60c730$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2925358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Spirit60c645$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25855236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Spirit62c624.74$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.173951.3%20 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit68c605.85$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.332,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Liquid40c599.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.991,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked Spirit60c513.78$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5114555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Spirit60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20019047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Spirit60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20023557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Spirit60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed Spirit62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.877546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Spirit63c475.24$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2417554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Spirit65c432.04$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2139851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Spirit60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16018657%106 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4745…d71cbacked Liquid35c375$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.253935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Spirit64c359.38$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3818342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Liquid36c359.38$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3813952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Liquid29c347.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2315641%64 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363d…2128backed Liquid41c346.12$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6573…58afbacked Liquid41c345.43$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Spirit60c343.75$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.520744.4%92 W · 115 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf251…cfa5backed Liquid41c340.21$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…4fd1backed Spirit60c339.66$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e31…4cd5backed Liquid41c338.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f31…e2f7backed Spirit60c337.97$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf0…fa43backed Liquid41c337.54$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c07…415fbacked Spirit60c333.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x055a…b50ebacked Spirit60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.334443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1cc6…5dfabacked Spirit60c331.91$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7269…4b4fbacked Spirit60c327.61$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked Spirit60c303.65$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.463737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Spirit63c300.68$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6812954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Spirit60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1217…96c6backed Spirit60c298.75$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a01…e6fbbacked Spirit60c290$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1164645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Spirit75c241.43$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6619362.2%120 W · 73 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Spirit59c222.08$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0561154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Liquid38c218.97$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.950947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Spirit60c208.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.336747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed Spirit60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8010251%52 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Spirit60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Spirit60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Spirit60c195$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7855738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Liquid40c193.44$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7715056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit60c183.08$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0839157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd99…c06cbacked Spirit60c181.67$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.675662.5%35 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Liquid41c177.63$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.838351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8766…0ef8backed Spirit59c177$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5712152.9%64 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Spirit60c173.57$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.439152.7%48 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Spirit59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.758343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Spirit59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.742845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Spirit60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6727744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed Spirit60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6720732.4%67 W · 140 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Spirit60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675438.9%21 W · 33 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3b2…0497backed Spirit62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b2…c1febacked Liquid41c161$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755c…0854backed Spirit64c156.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.455056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x289b…178cbacked Liquid32c150.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.64452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Spirit61c148.16$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2116248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df1…ab0abacked Liquid41c145$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44dc…2ddbbacked Spirit63c143$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.911442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Spirit60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5667651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e77…198dbacked Liquid41c137$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Spirit61c135.78$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7522952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.