CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28e0bca160aa88e0e366257f86202c80b4bbfa53e3eb9106122988c066d237db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,726 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Liquid | 24c | 15,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Spirit | 75c | 10,629$7,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.81 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed Spirit | 78c | 9,411$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.79 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Spirit | 76c | 8,034$6,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.39 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Liquid | 25c | 6,867$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.78 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liquid | 21c | 6,504$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.02 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Liquid | 24c | 6,500$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Spirit | 76c | 5,600$4,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Spirit | 76c | 5,265$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.7 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Liquid | 24c | 4,185$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.22 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Spirit | 77c | 3,526$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.22 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Liquid | 24c | 3,266$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.84 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Liquid | 25c | 3,065$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.24 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid | 14c | 2,469$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.83 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Liquid | 9c | 2,300$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.23 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Spirit | 77c | 2,173$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.83 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Spirit | 80c | 2,055$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Spirit | 76c | 1,974$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.21 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Spirit | 79c | 1,809$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.38 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Liquid | 26c | 1,800$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Liquid | 11c | 1,783$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Spirit | 76c | 1,752$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.09 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Spirit | 79c | 1,379$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.88 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Liquid | 25c | 1,290$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Liquid | 24c | 1,153$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.22 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Liquid | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Liquid | 1c | 1,096$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Liquid | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Spirit | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 23c | 1,000$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7eeebacked Liquid | 26c | 934.72$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed Spirit | 75c | 899$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…1fafbacked Liquid | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 22.6%43 W · 147 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Spirit | 79c | 810$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Liquid | 23c | 762.8$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.82 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Liquid | 14c | 761$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Liquid | 27c | 757.76$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…b467backed Spirit | 76c | 699.98$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Spirit | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Liquid | 20c | 642.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c2…36dcbacked Liquid | 24c | 637.58$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid | 10c | 603.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Spirit | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Spirit | 78c | 595$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.53 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Liquid | 6c | 590$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Liquid | 24c | 588.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Liquid | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Spirit | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Liquid | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Liquid | 21c | 472$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed Spirit | 77c | 454.07$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Liquid | 4c | 417.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spirit | 80c | 417.16$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Liquid | 23c | 408.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Liquid | 24c | 400.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Spirit | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Spirit | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Spirit | 76c | 365.63$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Spirit | 75c | 329.71$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Spirit | 76c | 328.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1554…3b03backed Liquid | 5c | 313.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Liquid | 24c | 308.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Spirit | 77c | 298$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Liquid | 20c | 291.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Spirit | 76c | 285.11$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Liquid | 6c | 274.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 179 | 49.7%89 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…2026backed Spirit | 77c | 270$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked Spirit | 75c | 269.72$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Liquid | 20c | 254.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Spirit | 73c | 242.67$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked Spirit | 78c | 242.07$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Spirit | 79c | 231.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid | 20c | 218$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Liquid | 25c | 208.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Liquid | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Liquid | 15c | 199.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed Liquid | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Liquid | 26c | 180.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Liquid | 27c | 180.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Liquid | 18c | 158.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Liquid | 18c | 155.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Spirit | 77c | 148.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 151 | 64.2%97 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Liquid | 25c | 144.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Liquid | 25c | 136.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Spirit | 76c | 131.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 313 | 72.8%228 W · 85 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6af…ac29backed Spirit | 75c | 131.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Spirit | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Spirit | 78c | 130$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…9694backed Spirit | 77c | 128.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Liquid | 25c | 120.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed Liquid | 11c | 115$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…0a61backed Spirit | 75c | 106.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Liquid | 25c | 106.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Spirit | 75c | 105.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…0d64backed Liquid | 27c | 103.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…768cbacked Spirit | 76c | 100.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Spirit | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Spirit | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Liquid | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Spirit | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.