Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x165184132e217393670fa98855a0cf2597120489e2fcac4823d1f481c9a46ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico Lobosof New Mexico Lobos, Saint Joseph's Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,216 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 62,929$30,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,205.74 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 57,846$30,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,778.83 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 7,586$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.28 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 47c | 768.12$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 473.55$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.58 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 280.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 276.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed New Mexico Lobos | 55c | 242.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 42c | 206.22$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…603dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed New Mexico Lobos | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 49c | 152.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 148.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 44c | 141.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 49c | 98.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 49c | 89.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 74.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 54c | 61.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed New Mexico Lobos | 44c | 54.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 52.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New Mexico Lobos | 44c | 51.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 46.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…7e25backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 45.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 42.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 41.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed New Mexico Lobos | 45c | 38.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 38.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 36.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked New Mexico Lobos | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 29.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88a…1c9ebacked New Mexico Lobos | 52c | 29.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4866…855ebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 28.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed New Mexico Lobos | 53c | 25.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 48c | 21.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed New Mexico Lobos | 61c | 19.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-10.5)this page
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico LobosNew Mexico Lobos won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 152.5Over won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 153.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-11.5)New Mexico Lobos won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-13.5)New Mexico Lobos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.