Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 154.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd67454d963e794041f5b94c92ef44739ca054cdfe0cf570cb8c92e8c5155b0db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,848 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 48c | 4,368$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.61 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 3,539$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 1,024$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.09 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 37c | 1,011$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.82 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 67c | 913.73$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.88 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 40c | 892$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.14 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 60c | 742.97$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.36 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 628.46$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.8 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 59c | 544.94$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.21 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 72c | 523.13$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 512.94$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 62c | 508.79$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.84 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 50c | 495.63$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.81 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 51c | 493.64$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.76 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 39c | 370.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Under | 51c | 291.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 47c | 287.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.06 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Under | 49c | 263$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.13 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Under | 50c | 196.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 23c | 165$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Under | 62c | 159.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Over | 24c | 157.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 38c | 154.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 40c | 150.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 38c | 136.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 38c | 130.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 80c | 128.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 37c | 122.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 35c | 120.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…ebe6backed Under | 52c | 118.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 23c | 107.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 38c | 106.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 52c | 105.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Under | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Under | 53c | 92.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 60c | 80.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 72.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Over | 59c | 67.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 61.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Over | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…4182backed Under | 52c | 51.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…f55cbacked Under | 52c | 51.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…3520backed Over | 54c | 50.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 55c | 49.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 64c | 38.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 42c | 30.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 41c | 29.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 29.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…1d19backed Over | 52c | 28.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe565…6a38backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…47afbacked Over | 54c | 26.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…db7ebacked Over | 54c | 26.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 61c | 23.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5957…6437backed Over | 52c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Over | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 62c | 19.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 154.5this page
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico LobosNew Mexico Lobos won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 152.5Over won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-10.5)New Mexico Lobos won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-11.5)New Mexico Lobos won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-13.5)New Mexico Lobos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.