Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0295009c78eb21e4e7a68a57bc3f7bf8a38aa4908f81ff260e4021fe98c3a938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,424 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 64c | 22,371$14,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,029.9 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 17,997$6,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,273.91 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakult Brothers | 3c | 9,398$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.02 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 5,692$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.31 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 5,350$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.54 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed PARIVISION | 74c | 3,889$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.07 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 3,387$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.3 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…0468backed PARIVISION | 72c | 2,962$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yakult Brothers | 1c | 2,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 1,880$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.79 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 1,773$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.02 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 1,750$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 1,517$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.98 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 1,500$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 1,303$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,284$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.82 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 1,245$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.52 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 1,207$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.94 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakult Brothers | 27c | 1,078$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.62 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed PARIVISION | 66c | 1,061$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.74 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 1,055$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.22 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,004$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.19 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 991.79$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.25 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed PARIVISION | 75c | 933.97$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.97 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 859.02$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 808.8$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 750$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 731.58$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 61c | 675.65$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.36 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 71c | 621.55$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed PARIVISION | 58c | 614.59$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.49 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed PARIVISION | 64c | 572.88$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.12 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 563.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.42 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 559.94$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.82 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 549.21$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yakult Brothers | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 500$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Yakult Brothers | 3c | 462.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed PARIVISION | 66c | 431.61$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.75 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed PARIVISION | 63c | 430$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked PARIVISION | 58c | 427.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.97 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Yakult Brothers | 7c | 400.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed PARIVISION | 64c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 391.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed PARIVISION | 66c | 330.76$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed PARIVISION | 64c | 313.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 309.35$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 300.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed PARIVISION | 58c | 294$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PARIVISION | 54c | 277.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.22 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 239.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 213$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 197.95$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed PARIVISION | 70c | 178.62$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Yakult Brothers | 46c | 174.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed PARIVISION | 66c | 159.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked PARIVISION | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 141.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 141.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked PARIVISION | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 134.15$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 131.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION | 77c | 112.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 110.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 108.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 100.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked PARIVISION | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PARIVISION | 67c | 89.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 84.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 83.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed PARIVISION | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Yakult Brothers | 17c | 75.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 72.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 71.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 70.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 66.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed PARIVISION | 60c | 55.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 53.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed PARIVISION | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b54bbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 43.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 41.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 40.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed PARIVISION | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed PARIVISION | 64c | 35.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed PARIVISION | 64c | 34.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yakult Brothers (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group APARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.