Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yakult Brothers (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x514fdcba93e9be76daf99253dae018c361745d24135fd9e226cfa02dc550deca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,177 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 66c | 10,530$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530.39 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 8,076$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.99 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 3,999$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.44 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Yakult Brothers | 14c | 2,194$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.21 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 1,900$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.99 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 1,750$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,743$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.72 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 1,432$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.9 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 1,015$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.16 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Yakult Brothers | 13c | 905.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 827.24$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.26 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed PARIVISION | 65c | 779.07$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.67 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…020dbacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 699.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 592$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 499.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…0a3abacked Yakult Brothers | 17c | 487.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION | 79c | 476.4$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.14 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…b418backed Yakult Brothers | 17c | 465.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 455.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed PARIVISION | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked PARIVISION | 67c | 357.01$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yakult Brothers | 19c | 350.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…60d1backed Yakult Brothers | 23c | 334$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…04e8backed Yakult Brothers | 23c | 308$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 297.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 229.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed PARIVISION | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928b…dc60backed Yakult Brothers | 18c | 168.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed PARIVISION | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5edd…36fbbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 142$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 141.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 130$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 72c | 126.52$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…9908backed PARIVISION | 77c | 121$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 120.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed PARIVISION | 67c | 117.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 113.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…8a6cbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 101$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed PARIVISION | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed PARIVISION | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yakult Brothers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…68e8backed PARIVISION | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed PARIVISION | 66c | 98.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a9…12debacked PARIVISION | 77c | 94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Yakult Brothers | 17c | 93.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…9dd1backed PARIVISION | 77c | 92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…3b8bbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 89.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed PARIVISION | 69c | 87.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…1e90backed Yakult Brothers | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…dd2fbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 81.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed PARIVISION | 77c | 76.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked PARIVISION | 80c | 65.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed PARIVISION | 63c | 52.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 50.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…9ad4backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed PARIVISION | 66c | 47.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…9df8backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ef…77e7backed PARIVISION | 68c | 29.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…34e7backed PARIVISION | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked PARIVISION | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed PARIVISION | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yakult Brothers (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.