Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9bb79529543ee4d1190e1f790ae203c48401a88cf948e8262ed7eaf5774c593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Landaluceof Korda, Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,907 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889f…7dd8backed Korda | 56c | 5,384$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Landaluce | 45c | 4,366$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.79 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Korda | 52c | 2,973$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.16 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Landaluce | 45c | 1,808$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.7 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Landaluce | 46c | 1,731$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.75 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Landaluce | 45c | 1,191$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.64 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Korda | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.91 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed Landaluce | 50c | 982$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Landaluce | 45c | 886.29$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.89 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Korda | 58c | 862.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Korda | 57c | 646.77$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.69 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Landaluce | 48c | 519.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.39 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Korda | 63c | 503.77$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Korda | 55c | 486.98$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.84 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Landaluce | 24c | 424.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.56 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Landaluce | 48c | 289.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Korda | 52c | 275$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…773abacked Landaluce | 46c | 232.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Landaluce | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Landaluce | 45c | 206.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Landaluce | 49c | 203.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Landaluce | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Landaluce | 45c | 191.27$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Korda | 55c | 184.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Korda | 55c | 182.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Korda | 56c | 177.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Korda | 78c | 174.13$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Korda | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Korda | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…52febacked Korda | 56c | 135.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Landaluce | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Landaluce | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Korda | 55c | 100.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Korda | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…fe3bbacked Landaluce | 48c | 94.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…5729backed Korda | 51c | 93.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Korda | 57c | 88.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Korda | 51c | 81.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Landaluce | 32c | 79.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Korda | 53c | 77.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Landaluce | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Korda | 55c | 55.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Korda | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Korda | 56c | 46.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Landaluce | 46c | 42.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Landaluce | 49c | 41.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Landaluce | 43c | 41.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Landaluce | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Landaluce | 46c | 31.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Korda | 59c | 29.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Korda | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Korda | 54c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Korda | 51c | 24.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Korda | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…aa30backed Landaluce | 49c | 20.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88a…1c9ebacked Korda | 52c | 20.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)this page
- Korda vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Korda vs. Landaluce: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin LandaluceMartin Landaluce won
- Sebastian Korda vs. Martin Landaluce: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Korda vs LandaluceKorda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.