Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ef7fe0759d059fb0a44f053e40a5bb88a5a8913046d9ee1b9b67b8ac87e591f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof JD Gaming, Top Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked JD Gaming | 38c | 19,738$7,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,565.38 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Top Esports | 63c | 7,797$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.16 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Top Esports | 62c | 5,628$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.81 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Top Esports | 60c | 2,589$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.53 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Top Esports | 60c | 2,115$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.87 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Top Esports | 60c | 2,025$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.4 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Top Esports | 62c | 1,405$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.37 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…7eabbacked JD Gaming | 40c | 911.56$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.62 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Top Esports | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.33 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Top Esports | 63c | 731.39$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.62 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Top Esports | 61c | 700.72$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.28 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed JD Gaming | 37c | 680$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed JD Gaming | 39c | 634.45$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.3 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed JD Gaming | 38c | 633.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Top Esports | 61c | 595.73$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.33 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Top Esports | 62c | 584.61$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.15 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed JD Gaming | 48c | 581.42$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.31 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed JD Gaming | 45c | 538.09$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.74 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Top Esports | 48c | 409.83$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.88 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed JD Gaming | 40c | 381.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.36 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Top Esports | 59c | 361.78$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.33 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed JD Gaming | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed JD Gaming | 39c | 287.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.27 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked JD Gaming | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed JD Gaming | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked JD Gaming | 35c | 216.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…2779backed Top Esports | 55c | 185.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed JD Gaming | 38c | 139.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Top Esports | 61c | 139$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…6e31backed JD Gaming | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed JD Gaming | 40c | 118.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed JD Gaming | 38c | 115.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed JD Gaming | 57c | 114.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Top Esports | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Top Esports | 56c | 97.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked JD Gaming | 40c | 96.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed JD Gaming | 38c | 93.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Top Esports | 46c | 87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Top Esports | 60c | 85.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed JD Gaming | 37c | 83.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Top Esports | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed JD Gaming | 39c | 60.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844c…f5f0backed JD Gaming | 38c | 54.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed JD Gaming | 36c | 51.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Top Esports | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…fe69backed JD Gaming | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed JD Gaming | 44c | 44.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Top Esports | 64c | 44.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Top Esports | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Top Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5413…73aabacked JD Gaming | 39c | 39.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Top Esports | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked JD Gaming | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed JD Gaming | 39c | 34.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Top Esports | 55c | 33.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Top Esports | 60c | 31.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Top Esports | 63c | 28.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed JD Gaming | 38c | 27.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Top Esports | 64c | 25.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.