Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb061e6ea632d3640bd3ce3b113a17fdc5c7e1694c819dc35fde293a2f1d0d509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.62 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 53c | 2,685$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.72 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 51c | 531.84$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.61 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 47c | 505$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.35 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Under | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…2779backed Over | 49c | 375.89$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Under | 51c | 304.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 54c | 251.71$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Under | 51c | 138.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 47c | 117.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 71.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Over | 57c | 70.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 43c | 70.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Over | 57c | 59.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 749 | 49.7%372 W · 377 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 28c | 55.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Under | 44c | 49.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Over | 50c | 49.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 49c | 36.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 47c | 29.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 47c | 29.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 40c | 25.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 67c | 17.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Top Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.