Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8bef83a3fe6f5d835eef0736a1f4f300b4a1440d9fc1eb9ab581f9d2e76ff6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Xtreme Gaming, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $600,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $743,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 198,908$103,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,078.46 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 49c | 44,235$21,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,718.54 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Aurora | 47c | 39,058$18,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,506.86 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 37,363$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900.24 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 29,866$15,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,480.92 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 48c | 29,373$14,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,227.82 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 23,306$10,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,998.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 49c | 19,388$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,887.88 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora | 48c | 17,400$8,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,090.93 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 47c | 15,346$7,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,082.83 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 50c | 12,564$6,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,246.67 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora | 50c | 11,393$5,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,696.33 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 48c | 11,384$5,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,976.27 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Aurora | 48c | 10,333$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,373.32 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 9,718$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.54 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 49c | 9,692$4,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982.2 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 8,451$4,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.7 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 8,023$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.27 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Aurora | 48c | 7,576$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927.63 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Aurora | 48c | 6,842$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.84 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 6,819$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.78 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Aurora | 49c | 6,569$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.58 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 48c | 6,414$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.05 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 6,331$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.15 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Aurora | 49c | 6,206$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.31 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 47c | 6,122$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.46 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 6,003$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.71 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Aurora | 48c | 5,990$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.74 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Xtreme Gaming | 6c | 5,249$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.75 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 49c | 4,998$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.07 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 4,977$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.44 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Aurora | 47c | 4,841$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.73 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 4,787$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.2 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 4,735$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 76c | 4,687$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.4 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 49c | 4,493$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.96 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 4,400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95c…61d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 4,223$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 3,981$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.83 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Aurora | 65c | 3,957$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.98 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 48c | 3,679$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.03 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 3,450$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.89 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,348$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.04 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora | 50c | 3,340$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.38 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Aurora | 50c | 3,211$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.35 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,210$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.52 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Aurora | 73c | 3,161$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.61 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 3,118$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.81 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Aurora | 65c | 3,076$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.12 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora | 50c | 3,041$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.78 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 54c | 3,029$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.84 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Aurora | 57c | 2,798$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.55 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 2,536$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.95 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Xtreme Gaming | 6c | 2,490$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.68 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 2,466$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Aurora | 49c | 2,455$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.13 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Aurora | 49c | 2,155$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.05 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 48c | 2,075$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.1 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Aurora | 48c | 2,064$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.6 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.8 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Aurora | 66c | 2,035$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.22 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Aurora | 49c | 2,010$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.1 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora | 49c | 1,969$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.15 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,964$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.09 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 1,924$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.89 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,843$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.47 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…e686backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,822$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 47c | 1,743$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.17 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 49c | 1,527$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.47 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Aurora | 48c | 1,507$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.92 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Aurora | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 49c | 1,378$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.53 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 75c | 1,316$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.91 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…4e20backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 1,286$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Aurora | 49c | 1,260$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.71 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Aurora | 49c | 1,215$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.65 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Aurora | 49c | 1,181$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.35 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ce…1798backed Xtreme Gaming | 4c | 1,106$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 1,100$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 1,095$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.4 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.44 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 47c | 1,064$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.49 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Aurora | 61c | 1,046$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.95 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Aurora | 65c | 994.66$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.13 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 74c | 983.66$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.04 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Aurora | 49c | 983.43$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.64 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Aurora | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.39 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 6c | 950$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Aurora | 50c | 929.57$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.94 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 926.08$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 47c | 912.51$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.48 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Aurora | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 52c | 890.52$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.9 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora | 47c | 887.52$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.51 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 65c | 816.21$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Aurora | 50c | 776$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageAurora won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.