Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6e1107d3db0318205fac2a2be5b36a9f1aeaf89d89ee9b3a7f31142b794c6d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 48,090$23,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,434.22 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Aurora | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 35,805$16,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,363.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Aurora | 54c | 32,455$17,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,519.69 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…f63abacked Aurora | 47c | 10,631$4,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 9,963$4,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,479.71 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 9,063$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,851.3 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 42c | 7,024$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.66 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 49c | 6,940$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.88 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 55c | 6,494$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.12 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 54c | 5,078$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.12 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 53c | 4,018$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.07 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95c…61d8backed Aurora | 63c | 3,892$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 51c | 3,885$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.41 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 3,850$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.29 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Aurora | 57c | 3,793$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.04 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 3,771$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.49 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 3,562$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.86 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 3,047$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.08 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora | 53c | 2,693$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.89 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 2,616$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.11 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,429$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.23 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 2,416$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.96 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,400$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.99 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 40c | 2,341$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.73 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 2,327$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.46 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Aurora | 50c | 2,206$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.9 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 59c | 2,140$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.81 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Aurora | 41c | 2,029$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.02 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.75 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,982$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.04 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 1,771$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.41 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,560$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.42 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,544$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.46 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,428$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.99 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 52c | 1,401$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.16 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Aurora | 54c | 1,341$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.26 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Aurora | 50c | 1,275$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.95 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Aurora | 54c | 1,231$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.89 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Aurora | 45c | 1,225$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Aurora | 21c | 1,208$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 1,174$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.95 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Aurora | 16c | 1,053$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.92 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Aurora | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…76babacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 997.18$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 975.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.65 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Aurora | 19c | 951.42$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.26 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…dfeabacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 942.3$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.94 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 54c | 912.06$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.43 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 892.92$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.81 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 44c | 880.64$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.53 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Aurora | 41c | 874.76$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.68 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Aurora | 5c | 849.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 34c | 817.03$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.79 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 815.87$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.17 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Aurora | 38c | 798.63$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.33 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Aurora | 16c | 796.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…b7b5backed Aurora | 63c | 757.86$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.45 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 748.92$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.45 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 726.13$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.73 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Aurora | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 564.41$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.49 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Aurora | 34c | 527.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.6 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 517.6$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.31 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 514.44$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Aurora | 57c | 498.19$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.38 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 489.8$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 487.35$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 474.44$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.62 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 439.93$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.57 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 439.38$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.66 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 435.16$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.87 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86a4…fe24backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 430$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Aurora | 57c | 427.83$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.54 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 407.96$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.38 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 403.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.19 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 398.09$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Aurora | 25c | 381.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 379.39$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 372.25$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.97 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 367.72$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.17 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 367.49$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.14 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 363$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Aurora | 26c | 356.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 349.88$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.45 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Aurora | 14c | 343.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Aurora | 58c | 337.51$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Aurora | 53c | 336.85$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 321.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.13 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 309.76$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Aurora | 64c | 307.29$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.64 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 300$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageAurora won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.