Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x448a54c16024d317753cd1bf10398ea8aca3b47ba957d4abba71e706fc26cb5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Xtreme Gaming, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,144,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,392,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,144,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 152,564$76,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,284.89 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 143,453$72,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,110.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 127,994$64,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,020.73 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Aurora | 50c | 90,031$45,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,015.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 50c | 88,938$44,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,488.04 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 52c | 51,082$26,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,774.25 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 50c | 47,955$23,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,180.47 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora | 49c | 32,815$16,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,606.49 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Aurora | 49c | 27,625$13,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,006.99 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 52c | 21,754$11,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,478.79 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 46c | 21,337$9,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,463.06 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 49c | 15,234$7,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,769.33 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Aurora | 51c | 14,418$7,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,117.17 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 49c | 9,801$4,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,952.38 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 9,144$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 8,123$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142.72 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8551…83f6backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 7,859$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 49c | 7,634$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893.96 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Aurora | 50c | 6,880$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.46 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 57c | 6,807$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.36 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 6,150$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.08 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Aurora | 49c | 6,028$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.31 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 6,010$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.36 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 48c | 6,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 5,971$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.01 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Aurora | 49c | 5,000$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 32c | 4,763$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.55 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora | 46c | 4,611$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.74 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Aurora | 68c | 4,552$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.9 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Aurora | 48c | 4,539$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 4,420$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.6 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Aurora | 49c | 4,041$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.32 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 49c | 3,968$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.01 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…893bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 3,968$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Aurora | 49c | 3,896$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.03 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 3,881$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.66 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Aurora | 51c | 3,740$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.32 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Aurora | 50c | 3,725$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.15 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Aurora | 52c | 3,640$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.36 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 3,303$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.93 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 3,278$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.94 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Aurora | 43c | 3,199$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.09 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 3,175$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.04 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora | 50c | 3,136$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.08 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Aurora | 66c | 3,046$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.65 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 3,042$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.63 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 48c | 3,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…76babacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 2,999$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 2,973$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.21 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 2,955$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.17 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 2,763$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.31 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Aurora | 49c | 2,674$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.29 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 49c | 2,655$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.69 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,615$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.62 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 2,523$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.96 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Aurora | 49c | 2,499$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.59 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 2,485$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.6 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 2,473$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.23 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Aurora | 71c | 2,457$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora | 46c | 2,432$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.13 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 2,427$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.52 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 2,395$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.37 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Aurora | 49c | 2,392$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.37 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 49c | 2,326$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.27 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Aurora | 51c | 2,297$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Aurora | 49c | 2,254$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.54 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Aurora | 47c | 2,140$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.38 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 2,106$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.27 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 49c | 2,074$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.98 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Aurora | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Aurora | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Aurora | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Aurora | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…ea16backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…e686backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,951$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Aurora | 50c | 1,931$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.01 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 1,922$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.92 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,853$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.33 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Aurora | 50c | 1,843$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.5 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora | 48c | 1,825$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.28 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 45c | 1,729$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.23 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 1,616$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.56 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 1,612$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.77 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,588$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.11 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Aurora | 64c | 1,558$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.73 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Aurora | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,474$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.76 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 41c | 1,439$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.59 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Aurora | 43c | 1,391$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.94 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,385$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.39 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,381$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.7 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 36c | 1,377$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Aurora | 50c | 1,350$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Aurora | 67c | 1,324$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.83 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,303$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.8 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.