Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5794ec4a5f6cb23516132225827d0fef4654c56a922490f751daf77c71765363
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,078 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Under | 54c | 11,507$6,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,238.62 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe61e…f5f7backed Over | 45c | 5,512$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 45c | 2,111$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.85 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 45c | 1,069$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Over | 49c | 1,022$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.73 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 42c | 927.84$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.07 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked Over | 45c | 833.33$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 43c | 722.45$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.71 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 66c | 283.38$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Under | 60c | 200.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.88 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Over | 65c | 189.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Over | 45c | 178.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Over | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 152.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 146.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 79c | 119.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 48c | 57.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 57.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 56c | 56.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd933…6652backed Over | 45c | 55.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…62b4backed Over | 45c | 53.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Over | 45c | 49.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…0a36backed Over | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 49.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…a69bbacked Over | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 26c | 41.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…a09dbacked Over | 48c | 39.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 131 | 61.1%80 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Over | 45c | 25.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Under | 52c | 23.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs French Flair (+1.5)French Flair won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs French Flair (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsFrench Flair won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs French Flair - Game 1 WinnerFrench Flair won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs French Flair - Game 2 WinnerFrench Flair won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.