TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Misa Esports vs French Flair - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
French Flairof Misa Esports, French Flair
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,437 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3643…46a5backed Misa Esports0c10,673$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6791…b1febacked French Flair79c2,606$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.14683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8542…9405backed Misa Esports1c1,875$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018910.1%19 W · 170 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Misa Esports28c1,836$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.1811035.5%39 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Misa Esports17c1,418$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.011,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports27c1,326$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.142,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Misa Esports15c1,318$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4118041.7%75 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Misa Esports25c1,171$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3339246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4090…3e81backed French Flair80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacc1…3ce0backed Misa Esports49c990$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.414911.4%17 W · 132 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed French Flair67c987.48$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.361,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Misa Esports55c973.44$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.5518244.5%81 W · 101 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bdd…23dcbacked French Flair45c962.46$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.117163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked French Flair76c903.5$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2559952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Misa Esports27c648.44$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.469756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed French Flair54c647.15$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1543151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Misa Esports15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Misa Esports39c600$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Misa Esports22c503.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11068942.5%293 W · 396 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed French Flair65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17550646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Misa Esports26c487$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6244751%228 W · 219 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked French Flair65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.541,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Misa Esports55c455.36$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.451,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…e4cabacked Misa Esports31c453.49$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.792231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Misa Esports47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024759.1%146 W · 101 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked French Flair67c405.87$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9496057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked French Flair66c400.19$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7995951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Misa Esports18c400$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2430139.5%119 W · 182 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked French Flair67c399.99$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13248652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked French Flair45c335.36$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4513544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed French Flair70c333.65$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6516058.1%93 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked French Flair46c330$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.248143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Misa Esports51c305.08$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3428638.1%109 W · 177 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed French Flair79c292.55$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7247953.2%255 W · 224 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcaa…42c7backed Misa Esports6c279.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Misa Esports20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Misa Esports28c242.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.551,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Misa Esports40c228.76$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8324065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Misa Esports55c225.18$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12440237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Misa Esports9c216.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed French Flair50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10066947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked French Flair54c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9314032.1%45 W · 95 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed French Flair54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Misa Esports21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422718.5%5 W · 22 L-6.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-68.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed Misa Esports50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Misa Esports55c182$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.182554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Misa Esports16c172.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked French Flair47c171.06$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0622747.6%108 W · 119 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Misa Esports9c156.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.797728.6%22 W · 55 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Misa Esports36c152.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2999747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports23c152.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.732,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed French Flair71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.574462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Misa Esports53c142.1$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3244047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Misa Esports24c127.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.52,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Misa Esports29c126.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.553953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Misa Esports25c113.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.226025%15 W · 45 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed French Flair53c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.53246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed French Flair54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.543040.9%176 W · 254 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports25c96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.242,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed French Flair70c87$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8310844.4%48 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed French Flair76c80.76$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7823348.1%112 W · 121 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed French Flair45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4473851.5%380 W · 358 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Misa Esports15c75.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410933%36 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a10…6e92backed Misa Esports53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed French Flair62c73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5113444.8%60 W · 74 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed French Flair68c71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7611141.4%46 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Misa Esports48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.91,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed French Flair58c67.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.171,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked French Flair79c63.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5714748.3%71 W · 76 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked French Flair70c63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9230545.2%138 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked French Flair50c62.38$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1915952.2%83 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Misa Esports52c58.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2774949.7%372 W · 377 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports38c57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.633,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Misa Esports55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…527ebacked French Flair46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3562558.7%367 W · 258 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked French Flair59c50.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8717348%83 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574b…023cbacked Misa Esports35c50.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.73862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Misa Esports53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.553954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Misa Esports24c46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Misa Esports43c43.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.641,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ab…5080backed French Flair50c41.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7319257.8%111 W · 81 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Misa Esports54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.616654.2%90 W · 76 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed French Flair54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.472637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa9f…7e5dbacked French Flair47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9120463.2%129 W · 75 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…5cefbacked Misa Esports47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517057.1%97 W · 73 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Misa Esports49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575142.1%316 W · 435 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc74…e875backed Misa Esports55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed French Flair50c29.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5749739.4%196 W · 301 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Misa Esports55c26.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5819265.1%125 W · 67 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc51f…e115backed Misa Esports40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011665.5%76 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a04…501cbacked French Flair55c24.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Misa Esports51c22.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5160124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed French Flair53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3642124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed French Flair78c16.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.571,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked French Flair69c14.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5324959.8%149 W · 100 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.