TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Misa Esports vs French Flair - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
French Flairof Misa Esports, French Flair
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,736 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7351…b857backed French Flair50c12,913$6,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,495.044854.2%26 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed French Flair53c7,090$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,307.9169756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed French Flair48c3,156$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.8728361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Misa Esports43c3,114$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.5114248.6%69 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6791…b1febacked Misa Esports80c3,100$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Misa Esports52c3,091$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.9778050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked French Flair60c2,596$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.5359952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Misa Esports1c2,219$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.19224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Misa Esports44c2,150$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.431,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed French Flair62c2,023$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.8339246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Misa Esports74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9928827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Misa Esports24c2,000$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.6350646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked French Flair51c1,971$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.566437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Misa Esports22c1,662$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8749461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Misa Esports60c1,504$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90083560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked French Flair47c1,303$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.5361045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked French Flair50c1,260$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.22,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed French Flair60c1,197$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.3816058.1%93 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Misa Esports48c1,144$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.571,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed French Flair51c1,092$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.942,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Misa Esports34c1,087$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.12,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed French Flair48c1,029$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.349549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Misa Esports57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57013946%64 W · 75 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked Misa Esports13c770.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed French Flair71c717.27$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1824065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed French Flair38c693.13$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.051,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Misa Esports55c672.12$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.781,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Misa Esports49c661.06$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.2544042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports35c591.85$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.522,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Misa Esports56c541.09$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9711035.5%39 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81fb…74a4backed French Flair46c520$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42e…0fd9backed Misa Esports54c520$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed French Flair61c490.16$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1643151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked French Flair43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.121,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed French Flair41c439.53$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3568443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Misa Esports76c409.65$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31050158.3%292 W · 209 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x455b…ae12backed French Flair57c401.56$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.566761.2%41 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Misa Esports50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed French Flair28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28829143.3%126 W · 165 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed French Flair50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked French Flair33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26848652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30af…20cfbacked French Flair38c383.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed French Flair42c380$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.242852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Misa Esports32c377.63$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12099747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3643…46a5backed Misa Esports14c358$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Misa Esports41c356.01$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9610749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked French Flair53c336$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9213544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Misa Esports42c332.97$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.882718.5%5 W · 22 L-6.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-68.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Misa Esports51c324.43$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.461,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed French Flair50c318.72$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.91,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Misa Esports33c312.7$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.063560%21 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Misa Esports64c300$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.468557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf76…db81backed French Flair46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1623100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+128%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95f0…67c9backed Misa Esports53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked French Flair49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15395951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed French Flair27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21975342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Misa Esports44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13217942.5%76 W · 103 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked French Flair46c299.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16296057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed French Flair63c290.82$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7218041.7%75 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc1…3ce0backed Misa Esports50c289$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4514911.4%17 W · 132 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a09…daf2backed Misa Esports61c283.14$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.87520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked French Flair55c279.98$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9963352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Misa Esports48c278$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4446637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Misa Esports56c269.69$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7274250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe6d…9d6abacked Misa Esports42c237.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.41650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Misa Esports23c233$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6334050%170 W · 170 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked French Flair53c221.88$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2512850%64 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Misa Esports57c220$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.339447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed French Flair47c209.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.716154%87 W · 74 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked Misa Esports36c200.23$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.392853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Misa Esports50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed Misa Esports43c194.3$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4718656.5%105 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Misa Esports21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018665.6%122 W · 64 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked French Flair48c176$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.888254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports71c175.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.693,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45e1…e4cabacked Misa Esports54c166.04$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Misa Esports52c161.23$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3819351.3%99 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed French Flair49c156.46$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.868942.5%293 W · 396 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed French Flair52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Misa Esports45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.528240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Misa Esports34c145.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9737342.9%160 W · 213 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed French Flair49c142.96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9186251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Misa Esports70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024759.1%146 W · 101 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports50c137.59$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.82,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d63…1f72backed Misa Esports17c120.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f7…7eadbacked French Flair44c114.93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9318846.3%87 W · 101 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Misa Esports45c112.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5064451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Misa Esports57c110.89$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6523348.1%112 W · 121 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked French Flair54c110.28$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1715952.2%83 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354a…ae3ebacked French Flair47c109.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.29933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked French Flair48c109.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7456341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3032…2c71backed Misa Esports55c109.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2210150.5%51 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6dd…edafbacked Misa Esports58c109.14$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4213165.6%86 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked French Flair48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174852.1%25 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Misa Esports34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3414032.1%45 W · 95 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Misa Esports34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba0…24d5backed Misa Esports63c99.03$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.391428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid+26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Misa Esports32c95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7557222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Misa Esports54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,25154.1%677 W · 574 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Misa Esports31c92.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1142124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.