Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04eb9d461bdf2f63153d7fb5ab50cc1b47c1c71d9f21ae6273271d48ff1cc516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Under | 58c | 699.98$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.99 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…a124backed Over | 61c | 625.39$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.21 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 57c | 594.2$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.69 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Over | 50c | 559.48$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.74 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 489.22$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.09 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 57c | 429.22$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.65 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a7…4972backed Under | 8c | 348.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +260.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Under | 59c | 341.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 50c | 335.13$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.98 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 58c | 325.48$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 41c | 323.02$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.58 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…0da9backed Under | 18c | 315.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Under | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 42c | 228.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267a…79ebbacked Over | 42c | 171.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 42c | 160.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…a846backed Under | 40c | 133.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 47c | 106.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Over | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 42c | 86.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…6c60backed Under | 47c | 65.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…7c9abacked Over | 42c | 63.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 41c | 58.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 61c | 55.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 43c | 48.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 37c | 46.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +16.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…ca41backed Under | 46c | 45.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 42c | 44.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Vitality won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)Team Vitality won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.