Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71cd8b9f7efe4ac8f8d6e605c5e39853e9cdae86d5a0c3c2a784b80bdad84c5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof G2 Esports, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed G2 Esports | 43c | 2,629$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.61 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked G2 Esports | 5c | 2,102$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Vitality | 57c | 1,795$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.67 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked G2 Esports | 43c | 1,087$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.63 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Team Vitality | 57c | 878$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.54 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Team Vitality | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 Esports | 43c | 776.99$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.11 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed G2 Esports | 43c | 704.58$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.97 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Team Vitality | 54c | 650.06$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.03 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed G2 Esports | 46c | 634.51$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.23 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed G2 Esports | 45c | 492.57$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.63 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Team Vitality | 56c | 452.63$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.57 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…aebbbacked Team Vitality | 56c | 345.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Team Vitality | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Team Vitality | 54c | 308.7$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed G2 Esports | 43c | 307.44$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked Team Vitality | 59c | 230.12$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed G2 Esports | 45c | 215.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Team Vitality | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Team Vitality | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked G2 Esports | 44c | 132.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ba…0acfbacked G2 Esports | 44c | 126.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked G2 Esports | 46c | 107.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Vitality | 56c | 90.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked G2 Esports | 42c | 89.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed G2 Esports | 41c | 84.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Team Vitality | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Vitality | 54c | 76.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed G2 Esports | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Vitality | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed G2 Esports | 43c | 57.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Vitality | 58c | 50.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked G2 Esports | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed G2 Esports | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d48…f5a2backed G2 Esports | 44c | 43.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…861fbacked G2 Esports | 45c | 42.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Team Vitality | 57c | 34.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Team Vitality | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…ca41backed G2 Esports | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked G2 Esports | 44c | 28.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked G2 Esports | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed G2 Esports | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Team Vitality | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Team Vitality | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabc7…7cffbacked Team Vitality | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…dc3abacked Team Vitality | 59c | 17.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Vitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.