TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$451,541
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$457,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,541 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Blue Jackets48c98,643$47,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,295.4388151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Blue Jackets48c87,084$41,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,504.7913449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Blue Jackets49c86,565$42,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,491.2221652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Kraken52c58,001$29,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,963.6630848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kraken52c39,084$20,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,487.421,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Kraken52c35,281$18,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,346.023339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets43c32,335$13,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,509.341,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kraken52c32,075$16,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,778.1747951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Kraken58c31,221$18,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,052.2426344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Kraken52c26,000$13,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,5204650%23 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8525…f152backed Kraken52c17,500$9,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,1001450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Kraken52c15,394$8,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,005.2617744.6%79 W · 98 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Kraken52c15,191$7,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,897.2411352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Kraken53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,95042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Kraken53c10,441$5,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,511.357453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets47c10,141$4,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,374.9941850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Blue Jackets47c8,995$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,767.3570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Kraken52c7,000$3,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,673.8275251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kraken51c5,635$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,873.8651452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Kraken52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Blue Jackets50c4,431$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.6510352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kraken51c4,215$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.3761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Kraken51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04012941.9%54 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Blue Jackets47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets50c3,537$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.712,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Blue Jackets48c3,457$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.541,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jackets47c3,337$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.441,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Blue Jackets30c3,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.334339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kraken49c3,155$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.0799638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Kraken52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56011946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jackets47c2,973$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.7931546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jackets50c2,886$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.31,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Kraken53c2,773$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9215953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Kraken51c2,659$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.3264242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Kraken52c2,462$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.011118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.35per pick53cpaid-64.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jackets47c2,392$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.5197651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Blue Jackets31c2,342$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.7810658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Blue Jackets48c2,248$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.5191653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Kraken51c2,235$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9969550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Kraken54c2,214$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Blue Jackets48c2,175$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,13115954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kraken62c2,135$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.072,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Kraken53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9942847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Blue Jackets47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.9730552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Blue Jackets47c1,987$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.4262249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Kraken51c1,898$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.981,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jackets46c1,716$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.6268449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Kraken53c1,560$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.8440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7651,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Kraken50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75013333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Kraken51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7657338.4%28 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Blue Jackets30c1,384$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.842657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Kraken53c1,356$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.546640.9%27 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kraken57c1,318$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Kraken52c1,300$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6762227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-43.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x91fd…e4c8backed Blue Jackets48c1,241$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.062347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kraken51c1,090$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.52,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0480…0a91backed Kraken51c1,039$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kraken54c1,019$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.071,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Kraken53c1,019$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5405248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Kraken55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Kraken3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeec6…a989backed Kraken50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Kraken70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6dd…32ccbacked Blue Jackets50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf4a…9ac4backed Blue Jackets45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01f6…d5c0backed Kraken50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216a…e47dbacked Kraken53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1cc…9a63backed Blue Jackets48c999.98$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Blue Jackets48c900$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46815448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jackets47c892.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.281,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Blue Jackets47c799.92$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.9634845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Blue Jackets41c790.19$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5327143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jackets52c750.29$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.811,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets45c722.24$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.681,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Blue Jackets42c709.64$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.3433848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48dc…35e9backed Blue Jackets47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3711353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…2ed0backed Kraken59c684.6$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Blue Jackets54c651.85$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.856063.3%38 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe997…1922backed Blue Jackets31c645.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.836942%29 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Kraken53c635.36$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3395054%27 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kraken25c583$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4658841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kraken53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Kraken53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kraken56c564.99$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.011,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b8…d47cbacked Kraken53c564$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8e…e5b9backed Blue Jackets48c560$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Blue Jackets49c555$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.057354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed Kraken53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2653650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Kraken52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26033837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb3…4b43backed Kraken52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8005…abc0backed Blue Jackets31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3451330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Kraken52c461.54$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401625%4 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Blue Jackets50c447.92$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.926262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Kraken53c445.48$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2383122.6%7 W · 24 L-9.3wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-56.3%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blue Jackets48c444$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.189249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Blue Jackets32c425$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289319.7%3 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Kraken51c422$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2272448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.