NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac308201be9faeb514e7078f34a95c3ae15e1fdd4148139b284d41c75c74670d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,809,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,921,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,809,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 939 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0140…9028backed Bulls | 57c | 93,750$53,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,002.25 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Heat | 44c | 91,518$40,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,250.22 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Heat | 44c | 68,663$30,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,479.14 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Heat | 45c | 67,528$30,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,140.31 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Bulls | 56c | 66,848$37,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,350 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 56c | 58,320$32,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,908.05 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Heat | 45c | 50,697$22,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,883.51 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Heat | 44c | 50,398$22,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,078.78 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Heat | 49c | 46,123$22,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,303.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Heat | 46c | 45,462$21,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,364.11 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Bulls | 19c | 43,508$8,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.45 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Bulls | 28c | 42,808$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Bulls | 16c | 35,000$5,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.49 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Bulls | 55c | 32,030$17,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,666.39 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Heat | 44c | 30,001$13,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,700.41 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Heat | 44c | 30,000$13,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,714.77 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Bulls | 56c | 30,000$16,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,699.99 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 45c | 29,910$13,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,450.5 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Bulls | 56c | 29,574$16,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,561.4 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Bulls | 56c | 27,000$15,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,100 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls | 56c | 26,000$14,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,460 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed Heat | 45c | 18,096$8,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,881.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 39c | 17,749$6,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,837.12 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Heat | 44c | 17,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.99 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat | 42c | 16,969$7,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,772.32 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Bulls | 56c | 16,500$9,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,246.52 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Bulls | 55c | 16,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.92 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e43…965dbacked Heat | 44c | 15,750$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,820 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Heat | 51c | 15,730$8,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,697.78 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 43c | 15,665$6,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,891.98 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e1…6c8fbacked Heat | 44c | 15,500$6,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,679.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Bulls | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Bulls | 8c | 14,200$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5d…819ebacked Bulls | 58c | 13,036$7,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,561.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6772…5ec6backed Bulls | 55c | 12,400$6,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,819.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…bebfbacked Bulls | 56c | 12,380$6,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,932.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Heat | 69c | 11,867$8,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.36 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls | 55c | 11,300$6,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,215 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Bulls | 21c | 11,135$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Bulls | 57c | 11,000$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,270 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Bulls | 54c | 10,697$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,776.24 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…8c8dbacked Bulls | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Bulls | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.97 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…a79bbacked Bulls | 57c | 9,700$5,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,529 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…3706backed Heat | 43c | 9,427$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,373.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…cbf9backed Bulls | 57c | 8,899$5,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,072.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4655…fef7backed Bulls | 57c | 8,829$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,032.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…3746backed Bulls | 57c | 8,821$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…938bbacked Heat | 43c | 8,734$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,978.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…5521backed Heat | 43c | 8,405$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +254.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Bulls | 56c | 8,008$4,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,516.42 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Heat | 44c | 8,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 43c | 8,000$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…6809backed Bulls | 9c | 7,720$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…df32backed Heat | 44c | 7,700$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bulls | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…986ebacked Heat | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bulls | 57c | 7,145$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.39 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls | 1c | 7,094$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Heat | 55c | 6,955$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.75 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…c4efbacked Heat | 44c | 6,900$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 43c | 6,722$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…e942backed Bulls | 57c | 6,500$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…9eb1backed Bulls | 55c | 6,470$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Heat | 45c | 6,390$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.5 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Bulls | 55c | 6,334$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,483.89 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Heat | 43c | 6,226$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.27 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bulls | 56c | 6,052$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.51 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8692…91f0backed Heat | 43c | 5,920$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…ccefbacked Bulls | 58c | 5,919$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…e0d1backed Bulls | 57c | 5,900$3,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 44c | 5,874$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Heat | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.82 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 49c | 5,607$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…1d8abacked Bulls | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Bulls | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bulls | 3c | 5,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Heat | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.96 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Bulls | 56c | 4,660$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.6 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Heat | 43c | 4,237$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.87 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Heat | 44c | 4,200$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…cd30backed Bulls | 56c | 4,200$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Bulls | 56c | 4,049$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls | 32c | 4,045$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.34 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Heat | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e8…3613backed Bulls | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…69d0backed Heat | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…48d7backed Heat | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.9 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…41c4backed Heat | 43c | 3,800$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c1…73d8backed Bulls | 58c | 3,700$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…5325backed Heat | 43c | 3,700$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…715bbacked Bulls | 62c | 3,700$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heat | 44c | 3,654$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.93 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…0586backed Bulls | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d44…53fdbacked Heat | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2e…7f88backed Bulls | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479a…e8b7backed Heat | 44c | 3,438$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Bullsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Heat won
- Heat vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 129.5Under won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5Over won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5Over won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 249.5Over won
- Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 250.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.