NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4bba13de30291488e33eb3a31fbd9afd7daaac6b4f97814d2d49929bc42e233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Under | 39c | 43,904$17,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,009.57 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 61c | 43,809$26,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,990.56 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 1,305$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 62c | 1,136$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.7 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce2…deabbacked Under | 39c | 392.52$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.94 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 30c | 383.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…79f9backed Under | 42c | 323.13$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed Over | 67c | 208.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…a09dbacked Over | 70c | 190.31$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 32c | 176.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 31c | 114.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Over | 69c | 87.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 69c | 72.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 33c | 72.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Over | 77c | 64.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…6d51backed Over | 65c | 49.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…fa14backed Over | 69c | 43.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…ec71backed Under | 37c | 40.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 38c | 30.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb52…8046backed Over | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f2…dfa3backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. LakersLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.