NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x575fd5e7913df9fd47bd6cbd8c2e2f55e1a93b77bc339e959a6623d6e4a744bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Under | 47c | 8,566$4,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.1 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over | 54c | 6,014$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.38 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…92f4backed Over | 53c | 4,100$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…512fbacked Under | 47c | 4,100$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Under | 48c | 2,438$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 51c | 1,947$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.25 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 56c | 1,892$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.55 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 47c | 1,046$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.62 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 45c | 927.39$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.84 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 53c | 791$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.77 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 623.09$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…afd1backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 346.11$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…a988backed Over | 55c | 310$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 55c | 302.11$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.95 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…74ccbacked Over | 53c | 277.19$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.28 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Over | 52c | 208$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 300 | 44.3%133 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Over | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 149$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f31…2c4ebacked Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 142$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Over | 54c | 116.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 44c | 115.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…6d51backed Over | 56c | 95.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b1e9backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce2…deabbacked Under | 48c | 81.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…36c1backed Over | 52c | 78.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 54c | 74.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…79f9backed Under | 48c | 69.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 52c | 57.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 46c | 57.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b651backed Over | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…1d6abacked Over | 56c | 46.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Under | 49c | 36.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…7160backed Under | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Over | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…8abbbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Under | 46c | 23.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ab48backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. LakersLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.