TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Bulls, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,269,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,222,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,269,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 867 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Bulls24c120,000$28,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,35038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans43c101,861$43,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,370.3196447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans76c89,990$68,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,875.931,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls67c69,013$46,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,127.262,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans74c66,926$49,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,442.4359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pelicans33c50,000$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,499.671,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Bulls55c47,517$26,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,13048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans33c40,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,799.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls66c39,659$26,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,216.872,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Bulls67c37,161$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans34c35,415$11,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,518.5674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans59c28,832$17,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,788.314,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabcb…d8d7backed Bulls1c24,119$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.19219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Bulls31c23,333$7,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,333.3527251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Pelicans34c23,000$7,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,08039349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Bulls39c20,186$7,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,89337930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Pelicans36c17,457$6,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,172.1910930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Bulls66c16,723$11,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,110.1944648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Bulls1c16,700$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a35…2fadbacked Pelicans36c16,000$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2403138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans34c14,940$5,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,826.73,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Pelicans34c14,683$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,690.486245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Pelicans33c13,671$4,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,093.2669852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Bulls0c11,120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3625016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Bulls21c10,162$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1008863.6%56 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Pelicans36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,40025753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Pelicans33c9,883$3,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,621.45850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4a…87d4backed Bulls67c9,035$6,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,053.453551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Pelicans33c9,035$2,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,053.2123245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls0c8,689$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.888820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Bulls24c8,300$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99218536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pelicans35c8,117$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,276.1666250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Pelicans33c7,705$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,156.3548347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Pelicans34c7,680$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,068.7711354%61 W · 52 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Pelicans34c7,059$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,658.8210547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans35c7,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5504,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Pelicans34c7,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.9319048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Bulls66c7,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,649.921951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pelicans35c6,968$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,529.3737557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls11c6,515$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.581,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Bulls10c6,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62544337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bulls7c6,300$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9927041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans32c5,760$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,916.99,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Bulls37c5,471$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.5116750.9%85 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls23c5,330$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.4981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Bulls66c5,193$3,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,452.0755346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pelicans33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,35035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed Pelicans34c5,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30011142.3%47 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e81…f02ebacked Bulls1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans35c4,950$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,217.580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bulls34c4,869$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.792,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bulls29c4,735$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.871,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…3655backed Pelicans33c4,645$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans66c4,548$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Bulls65c4,500$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,92516641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bulls32c3,859$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.12,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls20c3,801$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.911,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd116…7468backed Bulls67c3,792$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Pelicans34c3,747$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.1717658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pelicans67c3,590$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.226038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans35c3,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,27592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Pelicans35c3,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,27547751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Bulls1c3,353$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.874573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pelicans33c3,344$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.5395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Pelicans45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.339852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Pelicans33c3,333$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.1128850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Bulls66c3,037$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007050%35 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…3308backed Bulls33c2,896$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.274450%22 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2a…587ebacked Bulls67c2,776$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8601050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pelicans33c2,772$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.2489050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Pelicans34c2,727$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.821723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Bulls38c2,659$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Bulls1c2,600$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.757502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Bulls33c2,532$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.135952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed Bulls40c2,527$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02011149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Bulls8c2,499$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8847535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Bulls12c2,478$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.371,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…8d80backed Bulls14c2,387$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.85160%0 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Bulls12c2,348$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.647433.8%25 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans33c2,308$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.72,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Bulls55c2,300$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26516540%66 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Pelicans33c2,228$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.246636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Bulls9c2,200$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1962035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…51e3backed Bulls32c2,133$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.4810941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pelicans32c2,030$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.3661835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Bulls67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Pelicans32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36011649.1%57 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans33c2,000$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.282,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc796…e017backed Bulls67c1,866$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Pelicans34c1,800$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18833146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Bulls25c1,755$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.371,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans57c1,754$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.0985344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bulls1c1,707$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.077211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Pelicans33c1,640$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.0835651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls66c1,600$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0561,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Bulls24c1,554$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37315461.7%95 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Bulls66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99019441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Bulls67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.