NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcff17cc16d9c9d6529b0c0e24e79c3ae92bb9a07d0fe929df40928261564a728
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Bulls, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 48c | 57,659$27,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,182.57 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Bulls | 53c | 19,603$10,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,340.53 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 52c | 19,460$10,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,169.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 52c | 9,960$5,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,179.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Bulls | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…da41backed Bulls | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…9041backed Pelicans | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…8a0bbacked Pelicans | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e8…29f1backed Bulls | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bulls | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.25 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 52c | 1,256$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Pelicans | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Pelicans | 45c | 1,030$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.5 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 47c | 876.82$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.54 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…3de0backed Bulls | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bulls | 2c | 509$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 47c | 380$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Bulls | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 54c | 191$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans | 45c | 146.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Bulls | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Bulls | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…9b10backed Bulls | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bulls | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Bulls | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bulls | 51c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 49c | 83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 45c | 63.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Bulls | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Pelicans | 46c | 53.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…dfa3backed Bulls | 54c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Bulls | 55c | 50.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Bulls | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Bulls | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -13.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Bulls | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Bulls | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Bulls | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Bulls | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…2a26backed Bulls | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bulls | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…3ae9backed Bulls | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…6574backed Bulls | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…4b15backed Bulls | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Bulls | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dda…5cbbbacked Bulls | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94db…26bbbacked Bulls | 56c | 21.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)this page
- Bulls vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.